Millions who rely on US-funded HIV/AIDS programs face uncertainty as financial cliff looms


Millions of HIV/AIDS sufferers, a lot of them in Africa, face an unsure future as a financial cliff-edge for US-funded international programs quick approaches. In September, 120 funding awards for HIV/AIDS work carried out by the US Centers for Disease Control are set to run out, with no concrete substitute system in place.

The programs present providers to greater than 8.7 million sufferers worldwide, analysts say, and it’s unclear what’s going to occur to many affected person providers on the opposite aspect of October 1.

It comes as the US State Department is restructuring the CDC’s work on international well being initiatives to imagine better management, in keeping with inside steering revealed by the State Department in May, of which NCS obtained a replica.

The new steering lays out a “streamlined” method to the United States’ long-running HIV/AIDS initiative, referred to as the President’s Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief (PEPFAR), which was established by the Bush administration in 2003. Considered a flagship amongst international well being initiatives, PEPFAR is credited with saving more than 26 million lives and stopping tens of millions of infections, largely in Africa.

Previously, PEPFAR was collectively run by the US Agency for International Development (USAID), CDC and different companies, and overseen by the State Department. But the brand new plan will swiftly transfer way more management to the State Department. Multiple critics and specialists have instructed NCS that they help the thought of streamlining PEPFAR – work to enhance its effectivity was already underway – however they imagine this new method will severely diminish the initiative’s effectiveness and sideline the well being specialists at CDC.

The 120 US-financed awards for the CDC branch of PEPFAR are anticipated to finish inside weeks with out substitute mechanisms in place, in keeping with a current evaluation of publicly accessible knowledge by the Health Security Policy Academy, a US-based assume tank.

“The result could be a second global health woodchipper: the abrupt destruction of operating systems that patients, clinics, health workers, laboratories, and ministries of health still depend on,” wrote the authors of the evaluation.

A mentor working as part of a program to prevent mother-to-child HIV transmission sits with a mother and her son at Migosi Sub-county Hospital in Kisumu, Kenya, in April 2025 – part of a wide range of work to combat HIV/AIDS that is supported by CDC.

The impacts are anticipated to range tremendously from nation to nation. Mozambique, Tanzania and South Africa shall be hit significantly exhausting by the funding cliff this yr, the analysis shows.

The awards fund a variety of providers together with neighborhood testing, HIV medical providers, HIV lab providers, Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis (PrEP) treatment and extra. Many of the expiring abroad programs have been operating for 15 or 20 years, because the funding was sometimes renewed in five-year cycles.

In addition to not renewing US-funded programs that occur to run out in 2026, the State Department can be planning to switch a few of CDC’s different remaining awards and has instructed CDC to cancel some open funding alternatives, in keeping with one CDC official.

“It really does feel like the end of PEPFAR,” the CDC official, who was not licensed to talk on the document, instructed NCS. “In a lot of cases, the State Department mechanism is not set up yet. So, this isn’t handing it from one set of experts to another – this is taking it away from one set of experts and putting it in a big box with a question mark.”

Another a part of the brand new technique launched in May is transitioning to a system wherein accomplice international locations select from a “menu” of providers, paying à la carte for which CDC providers they need. Analysts say that may take the US well being company out of the driving force’s seat and switch it right into a contractor of types.

Trump administration political appointees “have been pretty clear the overall funding is going way down,” the CDC supply added, saying that State Department officers have made clear that they’re not excited about funding sure systemic work, such as well being surveillance methods, sure laboratory work and well being workforce coaching. For the elements of PEPFAR programs that they do need to maintain funding, like well being staff and drugs, “it’s really just for one or two more years, and then they’ve already told some of the countries we’re pulling the plug.”

The State Department although has stated that funding for operations will enhance, as it transitions to what it’s calling the “America First Global Health Strategy.” The adjustments to PEPFAR are a part of that broader technique, wherein American assist shall be funneled by a brand new system of one-on-one Memoranda of Understanding (MOU) with particular person international locations, slightly than distributed by worldwide assist companions and organizations.

“The State Department expects CDC overseas operating funding to increase – not decrease – under the America First Global Health Strategy,” a State Department spokesperson stated in response to questions from NCS.

A cyclist rides past a PEPFAR sign in Abidjan, Ivory Coast, in July 2025.

“The Trump Administration is preserving and strengthening PEPFAR’s lifesaving impact, maintaining CDC’s world-class technical role, and ensuring US assistance is producing durable results,” the State Department spokesperson stated. They stated that every nation receiving assist is now working by a plan for implementation of the MOU agreements and that the CDC stays “the preferred provider for all technical services to recipient countries.”

A spokesperson for the US Department of Health and Human Services, which oversees CDC, stated: “The suggestion that the America First Global Health Strategy will ‘deteriorate’ global health programs ignores decades of CDC’s work to build sustainable public health capacity around the world,” including that “CDC continues to implement global health programs funded through Congressional appropriations.”

The State Department’s restructure of PEPFAR has drawn widespread criticism from specialists, members of Congress and former CDC officers who labored below each Republican and Democratic administrations.

In an essay revealed within the well being information outlet Stat in May, eight former CDC directors warned that the State Department technique, “done in haste as currently planned… will destroy PEPFAR and undermine health security around the world and in our own country.” They added that the fee-for-services menu “risks pulling out the scaffolding and expertise” of this system earlier than an efficient different is in place.

The former CDC administrators urged the State Department, CDC and Congress to work collectively on a extra secure transition plan.

Meanwhile, a bipartisan group of senators has despatched a letter to the Senate Appropriations Committee urging a direct enhance in funding for CDC’s international well being account, arguing that “while we must be conscientious stewards of taxpayer dollars spent on foreign assistance, PEPFAR is one of the most cost-effective foreign assistance programs, delivering an immense return on investment.”

CDC has a “proven track record” of efficiently implementing the US’ international work on HIV/AIDS, stated the group of 23 senators, led by the Rev. Raphael Warnock (D-GA) and Dr. Bill Cassidy (R-LA).

“A real challenge with this proposal is that it’s really viewing global HIV work and global health-response work as transactional, as part of these MOU deals,” stated Dr. Michele Montandon, the previous chief of the CDC crew working to forestall mother-to-child transmission of HIV, who was laid off final yr. “There’s really a lack of focus on health outcomes, saving lives, keeping Americans safe.”

Montandon expressed considerations concerning the continuation of the accountability, transparency and robust knowledge assortment which have lengthy been thought-about the keys to PEPFAR’s success, as the brand new system of bilateral MOU offers is applied.

An AIDS support counsellor speaks to clients during a clinic day in February 2025 in Kampala, Uganda, as part of a range of services supported by CDC.

“When you require countries to meet certain indicators, we know that people are more likely (to) tell you what you want to hear. And so you need a lot of data quality systems in place, and site visits, and oversight to make sure that the data are accurate,” she instructed NCS.

Regarding the expiring awards, Montandon added: “It’s really hard to transition the support for 8 million people in a couple months’ time without having major disruptions… When people lose their access to treatment, they get sick with AIDS. Babies get HIV. People die.”

The CDC official added that employees contained in the company have lengthy been working to enhance PEPFAR’s effectivity and bolster the involvement of accomplice governments, to be able to assist be certain that the cash the United States spends to fight HIV/AIDS goes additional. The supply argued that the restructure of PEPFAR is definitely inhibiting effectivity.

“The irony is, we’re actually moving backwards,” the supply stated. “We’re getting far less per dollar than we were two years ago because of these changes.”



Sources

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