NCS chief knowledge analyst Harry Enten says President Trump’s approval ranking is “as low as Death Valley” and trending within the incorrect course for the president and his get together. “It’s been a steady fall into the abyss–there is no bottom.”
On NCS News Central Tuesday, Enten told anchor John Berman that “it’s not one event that is dragging Donald Trump down,” just like the battle in Iran, however “it’s a slew of events that have come together and have continuously dropped his net approval rating.”
In Enten’s mixture of polling from Trump’s inauguration in January 2025, when his web approval was optimistic at +6 factors, the drop has been enormous: dropping into the pink at -13 factors in January 2026 and now falling to -18 factors, “a term two low,” Enten stated.
TOPSHOT – US President Donald Trump addresses the nation, alongside US Vice President JD Vance (L), US Secretary of State Marco Rubio (2nd R) and US Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth (R), from the White House in Washington, DC on June 21, 2025, following the announcement that the US bombed nuclear websites in Iran. President Donald Trump stated June 21, 2025 the US navy has carried out a “very successful attack” on three Iranian nuclear websites, together with the underground uranium enrichment facility at Fordo. “We have completed our very successful attack on the three Nuclear sites in Iran, including Fordow, Natanz, and Esfahan,” Trump stated in a put up on his Truth Social platform. (Photo by Carlos Barria / POOL / AFP) (Photo by CARLOS BARRIA/POOL/AFP by way of Getty Images)
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Between Monday and Tuesday, the president endured discouraging approval leads to three separate polls, with the newest, from The Economist and YouGov, displaying Trump with only a 35 % approval rating–the lowest in his second time period.
The Economist/YouGov poll broke down Trump’s anemic displaying by difficulty, with 61 % of Americans saying fuel costs had been going up the place they lived, and simply 29 % of Republicans saying the financial system is getting better–down from 55 % only a month in the past, and decrease than any Economist/YouGov ballot since Trump’s second time period started.
American President Richard Nixon (1913 – 1994) smiles whereas turning in direction of American politician and Senate Majority Leader Mike Mansfield (1903 – 2001) of Montana throughout a bipartisan Congressional management assembly, within the White House, Washington, DC, May 31, 1974. (Photo by Library of Congress/Interim Archives/Getty Images)
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‘He is worse than Richard Nixon’
On NCS, Enten advised that there was little to indicate–even if the battle in Iran had been to finish quickly–that Trump may flip his approval numbers round. At this level within the president’s first time period, his approval was rising. Today, it’s on a gradual decline–sitting six share factors decrease now that he did at this level in his first time period.
“There is no sign of any bottom in term number two,” Enten stated.
Where’s the president dropping probably the most assist? Enten says take a look at unbiased voters, who’ve run from Trump in his second time period. “Donald Trump now has the worst net approval rating among independents of any president ever at this point in term two,” Enten stated. “He is worse than Richard Nixon, who would be going adios amigos in a few months in 1974.”
WASHINGTON, DC – MARCH 27: U.S. Vice President JD Vance speaks throughout a Fraud Task Force assembly within the Indian Treaty Room on the White House on March 27, 2026 in Washington, DC. Vice President JD Vance held the Fraud Task Force Meeting with goals to cut back federal spending by figuring out misuse of federal funds. (Photo by Heather Diehl/Getty Images)
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Dragging down the 2028 GOP ticket?
Nixon’s web approval ranking amongst independents at this level in his time period in 1974–while he was going through impeachment hearings–stood at -36 factors. George W. Bush was only one share level worse (-37) within the midst of the battle in Iraq, whereas Trump’s quantity is a staggering -45. “He’s nearly ten points worse among independents…than Richard Nixon,” Enten stated. “My goodness gracious.”
Trump, after all, has no re-election marketing campaign to fret about, however his vp, JD Vance, is broadly anticipated to make a run in 2028–and Trump’s numbers are hurting. Six months in the past, prediction markets had Vance with a 53% probability of profitable the Republican nomination in 2028, however now he’s fallen to only 37%–tied for Vance’s all-time low.