NCS chief information analyst Harry Enten pointed to numbers on Thursday which will show to be President Donald Trump and Republicans’ saving grace in the midterm elections.
Enten joined John Berman on Thursday after Berman pointed to a Quinnipiac University ballot displaying Trump’s approval ranking has dropped to 38%. The anchor famous that Trump has been “hemorrhaging support among independents.”
Enten argued, nevertheless, that Trump’s regular assist amongst voters age 65 and up might come by means of for Republicans in the midterms because it’s a “key voting bloc” that participates extra in elections than youthful teams.
“President Trump is more than holding his own amongst a very large portion of the electorate, a very reliable voting bloc, and that is senior citizens,” Enten reported.
Citing polls from CBS, NCS, and Fox, Enten identified that Trump’s approval ranking amongst senior residents in March of 2025 was 46%. It has since solely moved to 44%.
“The key nugget here is for all this talk about young people in the to it, such as myself, or at least I like to include myself in that bloc, it turns out that older voters, senior citizens vote in far larger numbers. So Republicans look at this number and they say, hey, you know what, we can actually potentially do some real damage or at least hold our own in the midterms because President Trump is holding his own with this very important voting bloc,” Enten mentioned.
He additionally identified that Trump’s approval ranking amongst senior residents is above former Presidents Barack Obama and George W. Bush. The pair sat at 39% and 34%, respectively.
Enten famous that Democrats nonetheless have an edge, with combination polling displaying them with a three level benefit over Republicans in the midterms. He argued although that that is seemingly not sufficient for Democrats to take each the House and the Senate.
“This could cost Republicans the House, but a number like this suggests to me that Republicans very, very well and are likely to hold the Senate,” Enten mentioned. “This is what we’ve seen in the polling data when we look nationally, we see that the movement, simply put, isn’t there. And when you get the most reliable voting bloc, basically Republicans holding their own with maybe some slight movement of Democrats. These are the types of numbers that I think Republicans have to be pleased with.”
Watch above by way of NCS.
The put up ‘Republicans Have to Be Pleased’: NCS’s Harry Enten Says a ‘Key Voting Bloc’ Could Save Trump in the Midterms first appeared on Mediaite.