Our soccer betting professional Jones Knows supplies his perception throughout the Premier League weekend.
West Ham vs Sunderland, Saturday 12.30pm
Enzo Le Fée has quietly slipped below the radar of wider footballing circles however not the eyes of Sunderland supporters.
Le Fée’s season pivoted the second he was moved right into a extra central function. Freed from the touchline and given licence to function between the strains, his affect has surged. He’s dictating tempo, demanding the ball and, most significantly for this wager, taking pictures extra. The numbers again it up.
Le Fée has scored in his final two matches and throughout that run has hit 4 photographs on track.
At 5/4 with Sky Bet to hit a number of photographs on track the market nonetheless hasn’t caught up along with his positional shift or his rising assertiveness within the ultimate third.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1
Burnley vs Tottenham, Saturday 3pm
A 1-1 draw with Liverpool would not masks the larger image for Burnley, which is damning. Across all the important thing underlying metrics, Burnley sit rock-bottom within the Premier League. Expected targets for, anticipated targets towards, photographs conceded, field entries allowed – it is a clear sweep of concern.
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FREE TO WATCH: Highlights from Liverpool’s draw towards Burnley within the Premier League.
Spurs’ ceiling is miles increased than Burnley’s. When they click on, they can overwhelm groups. Tuesday’s win over Borussia Dortmund was a reminder of what this facet can appear to be when depth meets high quality. Aggressive urgent, quick ball motion and a really stable construction in defence.
Playing away from residence hasn’t been a adverse for Spurs this season – fairly the alternative. They’ve already gone to Manchester City, Crystal Palace, Leeds and Everton and come again with wins. The concept that Turf Moor is an impenetrable fortress would not stack up towards this Spurs profile.
The Evens for an away win seems beneficiant.
SCORE PREDICTION: 0-2 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Tottenham to win (Evens with Sky Bet)
Fulham vs Brighton, Saturday 3pm
We can get very caught up in simply selecting a facet within the prediction recreation. Home win or away win. But generally the neatest wager is the one no one needs to again – and Fulham vs Brighton has draw written throughout it.
Just one level separates these two within the Premier League. Both groups are able to beating good sides on their day, however neither constantly dominates groups of the same degree. When Fulham and Brighton face opponents on this bracket, video games are likely to settle into lengthy spells of steadiness.
The draw is the most important worth of the three outcomes and it is the wager no one needs to again. Punters gravitate in the direction of winners. Bookmakers know that. So, draw costs typically drift organically past the place the true likelihood sits, particularly in evenly matched fixtures like this. It can be backed right here at 9/4 with Sky Bet.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1
Manchester City vs Wolves, Saturday 3pm
This is a fixture that robotically drags the aim line up. Manchester City at residence, Wolves on the town. The market instinctively leans in the direction of a goal-heavy afternoon. But backing this Wolves defence below Rob Edwards has quietly change into a worthwhile technique. They’re tighter, higher organised, and much more disciplined with out the ball. Over their final eight Premier League video games, Wolves rank second best for anticipated targets towards. That’s elite defensive course of.
Then think about Manchester City’s week. Chaotic is the phrase. Distractions, noise, stress and that always results in pragmatism relatively than expression. City need not win massive right here. Any win will do. Control, handle, transfer on.
Yet, at 1/5 with Sky Bet they’re a favorite value swerving. Of these two win market choices, I’d a lot relatively again a Wolves win at 10/1.
That opens up a number of paths for an below targets wager and it is the below 3.5 line at 4/5 with Sky Bet that stands out as the primary play.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Under 3.5 targets (4/5 with Sky Bet)
Bournemouth vs Liverpool, Saturday 5.30pm, reside on Sky Sports
Florian Wirtz’s begin to life within the Premier League has been a sluggish burn – however the indicators are beginning to present that we should begin taking note of him throughout the prop markets.
The early weeks after his £116m summer season transfer from Leverkusen have been awkward. New league, new tempo, new expectations. All that jazz.
Wirtz’s finish product has caught hearth not too long ago although. He’s now averaging near a aim involvement each 102 minutes throughout his final eight appearances in all competitions.
After failing to attain in his first 22 Liverpool appearances, he is now hit the web in 4 of his final seven. That’s a participant discovering rhythm, timing and belief in his environment.
He is 8/1 to open the scoring with Sky Bet.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2
Brentford vs Nottingham Forest, Sunday 2pm, reside on Sky Sports
Some bets do not want overcomplicating. You take a look at the venue, you take a look at the numbers and the image turns into clear. Brentford at house is a type of conditions and the ten/11 with Sky Bet towards Nottingham Forest may be very laborious to show down.
The Gtech has quietly change into one of many hardest locations to go within the Premier League. Brentford have taken 24 factors from a potential 33 at residence, the fourth-best residence document within the division. That’s not constructed on comfortable fixtures both, it is a repeatable edge pushed by construction, depth and crowd power.
Brentford are aggressive in duels, sturdy in second balls and ruthless in moments that matter. They flip video games into uncomfortable experiences for visiting groups.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-0
Crystal Palace vs Chelsea, Sunday 2pm, reside on Sky Sports
Oliver Glasner’s impending departure on the finish of the season issues. Even essentially the most skilled squads really feel it when management has an expiry date. Messages lose a fraction of their chunk. It does not imply Palace will down instruments nevertheless it does imply focus can blur on the margins and at this degree high quality margins determine Premier League video games.
Chelsea, contemporary from their very own off-field shake-up, arrive with one thing Palace lack proper now: readability. No looming exits. No main distractions. Just factors to chase and a transparent goal below Liam Rosenior to complete within the Champions League locations. In matches like this, that psychological readability is an underrated edge and does make Chelsea an attention-grabbing betting proposal at Evens with Sky Bet.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2
Sunday twenty fifth January 12:30pm
Kick off 2:00pm
Newcastle vs Aston Villa, Sunday 2pm, reside on Sky Sports
Joelinton and emotional management have at all times lived on reverse sides of the road. He performs on the sting as a result of Newcastle want him to. Intensity, duels, aggression – it is his job description. And towards Aston Villa, that edge has repeatedly tipped into yellow card territory.
Joelinton has been booked in 5 of the final seven conferences between Newcastle and Villa. That’s not a coincidence. Villa convey the form of technical ball carriers and clever movers that pressure Joelinton into restoration challenges, late tackles and tactical fouls.
Morgan Rogers, Youri Tielemans and Ollie Watkins are card magnets. Since the beginning of final season, that trio have collectively drawn 48 playing cards from opposition gamers. They’re intelligent with their motion, sharp on the flip and wonderful at inviting contact in harmful areas.
The 9/4 with Sky Bet for Joelinton to be carded is a critical runner.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Joelinton to be carded (9/4 with Sky Bet)
Arsenal vs Manchester United, Sunday 4.30pm, reside on Sky Sports
Bukayo Saka’s present run of 12 video games with out a aim in all competitions is his joint-longest drought for Arsenal. From a floor view, that kind of run would put individuals off deciding on him within the goalscorer markets. But I see it in a different way. Trends in soccer at all times snap. And timing is the whole lot in relation to snapping them for revenue.
Saka remains to be Arsenal’s artistic heartbeat, the outlet for hazard and the participant most probably to use half-chances within the ultimate third. Arsenal are more likely to management giant parts of this recreation and Saka shall be central to creating or ending possibilities.
From a betting standpoint, the query is not whether or not Saka will rating ultimately – it is when. This seems the time to leap on at 7/4 with Sky Bet.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-0
Everton vs Leeds, Monday 8pm, reside on Sky Sports
Dominic Calvert-Lewin going through Everton for the primary time in his profession is a traditional “ex-factor” situation. A participant with motivation, familiarity and unfinished enterprise – all variables that can’t be factored into his goalscorer costs. Add in his present kind and this turns into a really juicy angle for punters. Calvert-Lewin has been in electrical temper. Eight targets in his final 10 Premier League appearances underline his ending sharpness and consistency.
He’s main the road for a Leeds group which have netted 17 targets of their final 9 Premier League video games – second solely to Manchester City (18), which paints an image of a assured group. You can get 2/1 on Calvert-Lewin discovering the web.