NCS senior information analyst Harry Enten accused these hoping and suggesting that Andrew Cuomo can pull off an upset over Zohran Mamdani in the New York City mayoral race of residing in a “fantasy land” on Thursday morning.
During a phase with anchor Sara Sidner, Enten noticed that “what the polling suggests is this race is, simply put, not close at all.”
“I know there are a lot of people on Twitter, a lot of Cuomo fans, who think that this race is closing. I want what they’re having,” he continued. “Because if we take a look at the choice for New York City mayor, look, back in September, Mamdani was ahead by 15 points, my aggregate of polls, 45% to 30%. You jump to now, it’s basically the same story. If nothing else, Mamdani might have actually gained a point or two. Mamdani closing in on that 50% mark, 48%. You see Cuomo here at 31%. At this particular point, and we’re getting close to where this particular point is Election Day, this race is, simply put, not close at all!”
After then, exhibiting that Cuomo isn’t more likely to be saved by an older voters, Enten was requested if there was “any precedent” for a “New York City mayoral candidate to overcome, to surpass expectations compared to the polling?”
Enten answered:
Yeah, OK, so the query is, proper, are the Cuomo of us residing in a fantasy land, the followers of Cuomo residing in the fantasy land that possibly they will overcome this massive polling leap for Zohran Mamdani? Well, at this explicit level, it to me suggests no, primarily based upon historical past. They live in a bit of a fantasy land should you assume you’re gonna be overcoming the polling. Why? Mamdani leads by 17 factors proper now. I look again at all of the ultimate polling relationship all the way in which again since 1989. The largest ultimate polling common error was 11 factors in 2005. Eleven factors is approach lower than 17 factors. So at this level, it could take one thing unprecedented, at least in the final 36 years of New York City mayoral races, for Andrew Cuomo to beat Mamdani’s lead. Mamdani has the ball. It seems like he’s working proper for the tip zone with no tacklers in entrance of him.
Watch above by way of NCS.
The submit ‘Not Close at All!’ NCS Data Guru Accuses Team Cuomo of Living in ‘Fantasy Land’ as Mamdani Leads first appeared on Mediaite.