NCS’s information guru Harry Enten was caught off guard to discover a uncommon brilliant spot for Republicans throughout the authorities shutdown—a modest polling bump.
Enten revealed on NCS on Tuesday that Americans’ view of Republicans in Congress had improved throughout the shutdown, which started at the starting of the month.
“You might think that given that Republicans are in charge of both the House and the Senate, a government shutdown might actually hurt the Republican brand. But, in fact, it hasn’t!” Enten exclaimed.
“We’re seeing here the Republican brand in Congress has actually improved somewhat compared to pre-shutdown, despite the fact that Republicans control [the House, Senate and White House],” he continued.
Enten cited a Quinnipiac poll posted Oct. 22 that confirmed that the web recognition for Republicans in Congress had improved by 5 factors since the query was final requested in July.
Enten identified each Republicans and Independents’ opinion of Republicans in congress accredited since July. / NCS
“And that‘s the math that John Thune and Mike Johnson are looking at, saying, ‘Hey, why should we give in electorally speaking, when our brand has actually improved a little,” Enten said.
While the numbers have improved for Republicans, it would be misleading to suggest that Americans broadly approve of their work in Congress. Congressional Republicans scored a -24 on approval rating in the Quinnipiac poll. That is still significantly better than the approval score for Democrats in the same poll, which is -41.
The key difference between the two parties is how their respective bases feel about their elected officials. 82% of Republicans approved of the congressional GOP, while only 58% of registered Democrats approved of their party. 27% of Independents approved of Republicans, while only 19% approved of Democrats.
Republicans at -24 are still polling better than Democrats, who polled at a meager -41. / Quinnipiac
The segment followed a string of recent appearances in which NCS’s chief information analyst highlighted troubling numbers for Republicans. On Oct. 23, Enten mentioned Trump is polling worse on the economy than any president ever has since the query first circulated in American polling in 1977. On Oct. 21, he went over Gallup polling that discovered 7% extra Americans have been figuring out as Democrats than Republicans.
The identical Quinnipiac ballot discovered that regardless of the Democrats’ depressing approval score and the GOP’s bump in approval, 50% Americans would favor a Democrat-led Congress in comparison with 41% preferring a Republican one.
Enten’s phase was a uncommon optimistic one for the GOP, as he had lately been going over tough numbers for Republicans. / Screengrab/NCS
But Enten was much less bullish for Democrats on this level. Enten mentioned, primarily based on his aggregation of polls, Democrats are solely up 3% in generic congressional poll polls. This tracks with RealClearPolitics’ aggregation of polls on the query.
A 3-point lead is alarmingly low for an opposition occasion heading into the midterms, after they normally put up greater positive aspects.
Enten identified that in October of 2017, Democrats have been polling at +11 in the generic congressional poll query.