Contents
U.S. Science and Research Policy: 1945 to the Present 5
Limitations of the Current System. 6
Crafting a New Federal STEM Research Model 12
The Federal Government Can’t Rely on Interest Groups for Change. 19
The United States has been the world’s dominant techno-economic energy for over 125 years. That has induced complacency. As the Information Technology and Innovation Foundation (ITIF) has written, China is hungry and decided not solely to displace American techno-economic management, however to additionally make America depending on it.[1]
On its present trajectory, it’s possible that China will, within the subsequent decade or two, amass considerably larger capabilities than the United States and even Allies will in what we time period “national power”: superior traded-sector industries which are important to nationwide safety or sovereignty. With these larger capabilities will come geostrategic hegemony over the West, except the United States forestalls that consequence by adopting a brand new, transformative nationwide energy {industry} technique that goes past a mere competitiveness or nationwide innovation technique. This shouldn’t be a struggle that the United States and allies can win within the sense of considerably weakening or retarding the expansion of China’s personal nationwide energy industries. Rather, the one manner Chinese assaults will finish is that if China turns into a free, democratic nation. But the United States and allies can keep away from defeat—protecting their nationwide energy industries comparatively sturdy—by working collectively and adopting nationwide energy {industry} methods.
However, the inherent weaknesses of the U.S. innovation and manufacturing system (e.g., cuts in authorities analysis and improvement (R&D), restricted STEM (science, expertise, engineering, and math) expertise, an excessively sturdy greenback, institutional resistance to alter, company short-termism, and many others.) coupled with a Chinese Communist Party hyper-focused on victory means that, absent main structural change in U.S. coverage, relative decline and lack of techno-economic aggressive place and energy is inevitable.
The most essential analysis change is to make not dropping to China the highest nationwide mission for federal analysis funding, on par with having probably the most superior army on the earth.
The first report on this collection laid out the context for this, together with what’s in danger and the necessity for radically new approaches in a number of key coverage areas.[2] Not small steps, however huge ones. Not tinkering, however transformation. “Bold” is the operative time period. The disaster is at such some extent that incrementalism will fail. Other reviews have targeted on reworking from monetary capitalism to nationwide techno-economic capitalism and from free commerce agreements to strategic techno-economic-trade partnerships.
This report lays out a reform and restructuring agenda for U.S. science and engineering analysis coverage. Federal assist for scientific and analysis can play a key position in guaranteeing that the United States doesn’t lose the techno-economic struggle to China, however provided that Congress and the White House considerably restructure the system to make it simpler.
The most essential analysis coverage change is to make not dropping to China the highest nationwide mission for federal analysis funding, on par with having probably the most superior army on the earth. That means not solely considerably elevated funding targeted on expertise wants associated to nationwide financial energy industries, but in addition analysis carried out in such a manner as to offer tangible mid-term advantages to current and start-up companies in nationwide financial energy industries.
Box 1: Defining National Economic Power Industries
The standard view is that the one industries that matter to nationwide energy are protection industries. But that’s now vastly too limiting. As Corelli Barnett wrote, “For munitions production for modern war is not primarily a question of specialized armament industries, as some suppose, but of all those varied industrial and scientific resources that in peacetime make for a successful and expanding export trade.”[3] As such, ITIF has developed a classification of U.S. industries for their relevance to nationwide energy. This might be seen as a continuum between protection industries on one facet, nonstrategic industries on the opposite, and strategic industries and strategic enabling industries within the center. See determine 1.
Figure 1: Industrial energy scale

At one finish of the continuum are protection industries. Clearly industries equivalent to ammunition, guided missiles, army plane and ships, tanks, drones, protection satellites, and others are strategic. Not having world-class innovation and manufacturing capabilities in these industries means a weakened army functionality. Policymakers throughout the aisle typically (aside from the isolationist Right and the pacifist Left) agree that these industries are strategic and that market forces alone won’t produce the wanted outcomes.
At the opposite finish of the spectrum are industries through which the United States has no actual strategic pursuits. These embrace furnishings, espresso and tea manufacturing, bicycles, carpet and rug mills, window and door manufacturing, plastic bottle manufacturing, wind turbine manufacturing, garden and backyard gear, sporting items, jewellery, caskets, toys, toiletries, trainers, and many others. If worst got here to worst and our adversaries (e.g., China) gained dominance in any of those industries and determined to chop America off, we’d survive—partially, as a result of none of those are important to the operating of the U.S. economic system, as many are last items which may inconvenience shoppers however wouldn’t cripple any industries, and likewise as a result of, generally, home manufacturing might be began or expanded comparatively simply as a result of none of those merchandise are all that technological advanced from both a product or course of concern and the boundaries to entry are comparatively low.
Next to protection industries, dual-use industries are important to American power. Losing aerospace, prescribed drugs, chemical compounds, semiconductors, shows, superior software program, fiber optic cable, telecom gear, machine instruments, motors, measuring units, and different dual-use sectors would give our adversaries unbelievable leverage over America. Just the risk to chop these off (assuming that they’ve additionally deindustrialized our allies in these sectors) would instantly deliver U.S. policymakers to the bargaining desk. National energy industries are likely to additionally want world scale with a purpose to compete. Moreover, many are intermediate items equivalent to semiconductors and chemical compounds, the place a cutoff would cripple many different industries. Finally, these industries are arduous to face up as soon as they’re misplaced due to the complexity of the manufacturing course of, product information, and the significance of the economic commons that assist them. In different phrases, boundaries to entry are excessive and, if misplaced, could be very tough and costly to reconstitute.
Finally, there are enabling industries. These are industries whereby, if the United States have been minimize off, the fast results on army readiness could be small. And the U.S. economic system may survive for a minimum of some time with out manufacturing. America may survive for a few years with out an auto sector, as we’d all simply drive vehicles longer. But due to the character of those industries—together with expertise improvement, course of innovation, expertise, and supporting establishments—their loss would hurt each dual-use and protection industries. That is as a result of enabling industries contribute to the economic commons that assist dual-use protection industries. A severely weakened motorcar sector would weaken the tank and army car ecosystem. Similarly, a weakened industrial shipbuilding sector has weakened army shipbuilding. A weakened shopper electronics sector weakens army electronics.
U.S. science coverage has gone via quite a few comparatively distinct phases.
Prior to WWII, there was restricted federal assist for science aside from institution of land grant faculties and a few funding for agricultural analysis and aeronautics. In reality, earlier than the struggle, federal assist for analysis was solely round 0.1 % of gross home product (GDP). Foundations and corporations have been the principal funders of college analysis.
That modified in and after WWII when science grew to become seen as important to successful the Cold War and addressing a number of nationwide challenges. A bipartisan consensus emerged that the federal authorities wanted to broaden its funding of science. But it was not clear what the mannequin must be. On one facet was Senator Harley Kilgore (D-WV) who needed a federal science company to advance specific nationwide objectives and functions. On the opposite facet was scientist Vannevar Bush who, in his 1945 report back to the president, Science: The Endless Frontier, advocated a scientist-led mannequin with particular person scientists free to pursue their very own pursuits.[4] With the institution of the National Science Foundation (NSF) in 1950, Bush’s imaginative and prescient prevailed. Bush articulated a linear mannequin of innovation, whereby the federal authorities funded fundamental analysis and, via some unexplained course of, out got here industrial improvements. That oversimplified mannequin has been completely debunked within the science coverage literature.[5]
Bush envisioned 5 key points of this method:
1. There have to be vital federal funding. By the early Nineteen Sixties, federal assist for analysis had reached 2 % of GDP.
2. Funding must be benefit based mostly and go to the very best universities and researchers, with no concentrate on geographic variety.
3. There must be no strings. As Bush wrote, “Scientific progress on a broad front results from the free play of free intellects, working on subjects of their own choice, in the manner dictated by their curiosity for exploration of the unknown. Freedom of inquiry must be preserved under any plan for Government support of science.”[6]
4. All disciplines are equal. If science is meant to be investigator led, then authorities shouldn’t favor some disciplines over others. The major purpose is information technology. And all fields are equally able to producing information. Astronomy is as helpful as pc science.
5. Science must be world. Bush wrote that “the Government should take an active role in promoting the international flow of scientific information.”[7] The development of science advantages humanity, so worldwide collaboration is valued.
The United States may afford to concentrate on science as a result of we dominated world manufacturing. It wasn’t even shut. And leaders then via to the Seventies a minimum of couldn’t conceive of it being in any other case. And so, the science system was established and stays embedded, even because the United States lags behind dramatically in manufacturing in contrast with world leaders, particularly China.
Bush articulated a linear mannequin of innovation, whereby the federal authorities funded fundamental analysis and, via some unexplained course of, out got here industrial improvements.
While science was to be “pure,” there was additionally a realization that science and engineering performed key roles in supporting key nationwide missions. Indeed, the dictates of the Cold War meant that sure disciplines, particularly physics, engineering, and later pc science have been privileged. This included protection, house, well being, agriculture, and vitality. These have been all seen as acceptable areas for authorities assist for not simply early-stage analysis but in addition later-stage improvement as a result of they have been areas the personal sector would underinvest in.
Starting within the mid-Eighties, this mannequin was complemented by a modest concentrate on worldwide competitiveness. As the United States confronted techno-economic competitors from Japan and Germany particularly, there was an growing concentrate on having universities play a supportive position. The passage of the Bayh-Dole Act, the creation of Small Business Innovation Research (SBIR), and the institution of industry-university applications at NSF was emblematic of that. But these applications have been add-ons to the prevailing system and have been solely tolerated, not embraced.
This two-part system—fundamental analysis for information discovery and mission-oriented utilized R&D—is now not enough. Too little college analysis is oriented towards information technology associated to nationwide energy industries. And even the place it’s, an excessive amount of of that information is used globally, together with in China, and too little is commercialized into U.S. improvements. And whereas mission-driven analysis in areas equivalent to protection and vitality does have advantages for nationwide energy industries, its “efficiency” price is proscribed since its core function is to not assist the broad array of nationwide financial energy industries.
These limitations have gotten extra evident. The Endless Frontier Act and its incorporation into the Chips and Science Act was an try to acknowledge these limitations, largely by figuring out assist for 10 key expertise areas and offering funding for NSF’s new Directorate for Technology, Innovation, and Partnerships (TIP).
But the college foyer efficiently pressed for a lot of the invoice’s funding to go to the opposite divisions at NSF for principal investigator-led grants. The very last thing they needed was limits on their freedom. And even with some cash going to TIP, the inner and exterior stress on this system ensures that it’s a minimum of considerably targeted on the Bush doctrine. Moreover, in FY 2023, TIP funding was 8.9 % of whole NSF funding and fell to only 6.8 % in FY 2024.
The present U.S. STEM analysis system, whereas possessing strengths, shouldn’t be prone to maintain U.S. techno-economic power vis-à-vis China.
Many will argue that the Bush science system maximizes information creation and even innovation and that’s in nationwide curiosity. But typically it does and typically it doesn’t. The reply relies upon. Doctrinaire views that principal investigator-directed scientific analysis is finest are a distraction from actual evaluation. But general, the present U.S. science system, whereas possessing strengths, shouldn’t be prone to maintain U.S. techno-economic power vis-à-vis China.[8] The present mannequin won’t achieve addressing the China problem.
Why not simply depend on the present Bush system coupled with agency-specific mission pushed analysis to attain nationwide techno-economic energy? The cause is that this will diverge from the purpose of techno-economic energy in a minimum of 4 methods: 1) the steadiness between science and engineering, 2) the stage of the analysis, 3) the areas invested, 4) the involvement of {industry}, and 5) the length of analysis funding. Relying on the present system, even with incremental reforms to scale back these divergences, is wishful considering.
In the Endless Frontier, Bush talked about science 119 occasions, however expertise simply 5. This was not an oversight. This mirrored the whole function of his enterprise: advance science analysis. Today, engineering receives simply 15.6 % of federal assist for analysis.[9] At NSF, this share is even decrease at 8.2 %.
But engineering analysis is a important a part of advances in industrial manufacturing that’s wanted so as to have the ability to compete with China. It’s not sufficient for the United States to advance new concepts; it wants to have the ability to produce the leads to the United States, and engineering performs a key position.
Too Much Focus on Basic Research
In phrases of science funding, most is assessed as fundamental analysis versus utilized. NASA has developed a measurement system to evaluate the maturity degree of a selected expertise based mostly on Technology Readiness Levels (TRLs). (See determine 2.) Using that framework, a major share of federal assist is for early-stage analysis (TRLs 1 and a couple of), whereas most personal sector analysis is way latter, round TRLs 7 to 9. In between—round TRL 4 to TRL 6—there’s a enormous hole that’s typically known as the “valley of death” as a result of it’s the place promising, early-stage applied sciences die from lack of funding.
Figure 2: NASA Technology Readiness Levels[10]

The thought of doing analysis associated to a selected expertise, equivalent to AI or new jet engines, is completely different than scientific analysis at an earlier stage attempting to know core rules.
One technique to body that is the purpose of science being to accumulate information and understanding of the pure world, whereas the purpose of expertise is to unravel sensible issues and fulfill human wants. The focus of science is discovery; the main focus of expertise is invention. The consequence of science is details, theories, rules, and legal guidelines; whereas the result of expertise is instruments, machines, processes, merchandise, and providers. In a world with out Chinese competitors, assist for expertise may be much less essential. In a world with it, it’s far more essential.
In addition, early-stage fundamental analysis is commonly not useable for {industry}, as it may be too fundamental and basic. And there’s typically not sufficient assist to maneuver it as much as later TRLs, or the valley of loss of life.
Another problem with the overfocus on fundamental analysis is that lots of the outcomes “spill over” to different nations. Scholarly analysis exhibits that when a rustic, even one as giant because the United States, funds fundamental analysis, nearly all of the advantages spill over to different nations that may use the information found to assist their very own economies.[11] Basic analysis produces general-purpose information that’s nonrival and tough to exclude others from utilizing, crosses {industry} boundaries unpredictably, and tends to be printed overtly relatively than saved proprietary. Applied analysis, against this, is extra focused, extra prone to be patented or saved as commerce secrets and techniques, and extra helpful exactly as a result of it creates benefits for the agency or nation that conducts it.[12]
Another problem with the overfocus on fundamental analysis is that lots of the outcomes spill over to different nations.
For too lengthy, the United States has been doing the accountable factor and different nations the “selfish” factor. The United States has lengthy invested vital funds into fundamental analysis at companies equivalent to NSF, National Institutes of Health, and Department of Energy (DOE). In distinction, nations equivalent to China, France, Germany, Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan commit a considerably bigger share of their R&D budgets to utilized analysis to learn their home industries.
It could be one factor if different nations, particularly China, stepped as much as their world duties and invested far more in fundamental analysis that the entire world would profit from. But China doesn’t. Most of China’s analysis is later stage designed to present its companies benefit.[13] China is aware of that it will probably free journey off of U.S.-funded fundamental analysis.[14] Chinese researchers attend worldwide conferences to listen to U.S. researchers current their findings. Their China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI) Express system gives them with entry to over 300 million worldwide scientific articles. They ship their graduate college students to U.S. universities. And in addition they minimize off different nations from entry to their very own scientific publications.[15]
Mission-driven analysis companies play key roles, however a lot of their focus can be on fundamental analysis (e.g., DOE’s efforts to find matter) or nationwide missions, equivalent to vitality. To ensure, among the analysis on vitality, well being, and protection helps nationwide financial energy industries, however analysis focused to the wants of nationwide financial energy industries is sort of restricted and happens by happenstance.
If we examine the United States with different nations, the distinction is stark. Twenty-nine % of South Korean authorities R&D is targeted on industrial expertise, in contrast with simply 1 % of U.S. R&D. (See determine 3.)
Figure 3: Share of nationwide authorities R&D expenditures targeted on industrial expertise[16]

Before WWII, {industry} funded a major share of college R&D. However, as federal analysis funding elevated dramatically throughout and after the struggle, {industry}’s share fell to only round 3 % within the Seventies. That proportion began to rise once more within the late Seventies and early Eighties, partially as a result of development of extra science-based industries, together with data expertise and biopharmaceuticals, but in addition due to federal and state coverage adjustments. For instance, the Bayh Dole Act in 1980 gave universities rights to mental property generated from federal funding, which spurred many universities to work extra with {industry}. Separately, NSF throughout the Reagan administration developed new {industry} partnership applications such because the Engineering Research Center (ERC) program, whereas many state governments developed university-industry analysis facilities to develop technology-oriented companies. Both of these kinds of initiatives spurred {industry} funding. As a outcome, the share of college analysis funded by {industry} elevated from 4.9 % in 1980 to a excessive of seven.4 % in 1999. The share has fallen since then, nonetheless, whilst federal funds have dropped general. In 2024, {industry} funded round simply 6 % of U.S. college analysis.[17]
Box 2: The American vs. Chinese STEM Research Model
The standard knowledge within the United States is that the U.S. STEM Research mannequin is the envy of the world and, not solely that, however that China seeks to repeat it. This is a really comforting imaginative and prescient. No want to contemplate vital system change. Just broaden federal funding and high-skill immigrants and all can be good.
The United States system was the very best on the earth, and should be if we lived in a world the place all different nations performed by shared techno-econoimc and commerce guidelines and a few weren’t our most important worldwide adversary. But in such a world, each devloped nation a minimum of could be investing vital funds into fundamental analysis that the remainder of the world would share. No nation must fear an excessive amount of about deindustrialziation and the lack of nationwide energy that brings. But that’s not the world we stay in anymore, and the U.S. STEM analysis system must evolve in that path.
Not solely that, however, as mentioned beneath, it’s a fable to consider that the Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP’s) purpose is to evolve its STEM analysis system into one that appears and operates like ours. Their system is designed to superior nationwide techno-economic energy.
The Chinese system is diferent than the U.S. system in a minimum of two most important methods.
First, the U.S. system is principal-investigtor pushed. Some actually good researcher identifies the analysis they wish to do, writes a proposal for it, will get cash, hires a crew of graduate researchers, hopefully makes discoveries, and publishes them in top-ranked peer-reviewed articles. The thought is predicated round people.
China’s system shouldn’t be that. It’s based mostly round groups who’re motivated by one overarching mission: beating the United States. Perhaps it is a funciton of China’s extra communal tradition. Or maybe it’s the CCP’s realization that successful in nationwide energy industries takes huge devoted groups working collectively. Either manner, it’s a special system.
The methods differ by way of mission-oriented labs—maybe not a lot by way of their group, however by way of objectives. Federal labs are there for a cause, so long as it’s not industrial competitiverness. It might be agricultural productiveness, well being innonvation, transportation supplies, weapons, or vitality. But there is no such thing as a federal lab, even accounting for National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST), whose mission is to beat China technologically in a slew of nationwide financial energy indsutries.
China has been reorganizing and increasing its laboratory system as a core element of its National Innovation Systems, significantly prioritizing this in its 14th Five-Year Plan (2021–2025), with “self-sufficiency and self-made success in science and technology” as overarching objectives.
Fore instance, as of 2023, there have been 533 State Key Laboratories (SKLs) authorised in China. Their mission is to hold out cutting-edge fundamental analysis, appeal to and practice home and international expertise, and conduct tutorial exchanges inside and out of doors China. Their areas of analysis embrace quauntum computing, nanotechnology, opto-electronics, AI, Advanced semiconductors and microelectronics, photonics, and supplies science. It shouldn’t be that U.S. nationwide labs don’t additionally conduct reearch in these areas, it’s that their purpose shouldn’t be U.S. industrial advancment.
We see this focus within the second space the place China’s system is completely different than the U.S. system. While the U.S. system provides lip service to commercialization, its not entrance and middle of the exercise. It is one thing that simply hopefully occurs. In distinction, the Chinese system seeks to “promote deep integration of scientific and technological innovation with industrial innovation” and to ascertain “concept verification and pilot verification platforms” that bridge laboratory analysis and industrial deployment.[18] And by 2030, a most important purpose is to attain “major breakthroughs in developing new quality productive forces, building a new development pattern, and constructing a modern economic system.”[19]
Too Little Long-Term Funding
Federal funding is commonly quick time period, with investigators having to consistently apply for grant renewal. And funding for analysis facilities, whereas considerably longer in length, remains to be additionally quick time period. This makes it arduous for researchers and facilities to sort out huge, daring, advanced challenges and work on them till success if achieved.
China is completely different. For instance, its National Natural Science Foundation of China, coupled with state-backed industrial insurance policies, gives secure funding mechanisms for fundamental science that allow large-scale analysis initiatives.[20] This strategy reduces fragmentation in analysis efforts and permits for sustained progress within the high-risk, high-reward area of fundamental science.
A brand new federal STEM analysis mannequin is required—one which goes past merely offering extra money or making incremental reforms to spice up the present system’s efficiency, together with partial lotteries for principal investigator functions, companies funding extra dangerous proposals, growth of the SBIR program, having extra regional “accelerators” to higher switch analysis outcomes to entrepreneurs, reforming the college tech switch places of work, and enhancing “the science of science” analysis. To ensure, these are all promising areas for change, however they nonetheless symbolize solely incremental enhancements of the present system, relatively than the elemental change that’s wanted.
A brand new federal STEM analysis mannequin is required—one which goes past merely offering extra money or making some reforms to spice up the present system’s efficiency.
Indeed, whereas many of those adjustments would enhance the system, they might not tackle the divergences beforehand mentioned. That would require a transfer from the present system to at least one with an specific alignment between STEM analysis and successful the techno-economic struggle with China. This means coming into right into a grand new discount: no science funding cuts so long as the science neighborhood will decide to conducting a a lot bigger share of their analysis with a purpose to win the techno-economic chilly struggle with China. This additionally means supporting sure areas of science (e.g., physics, life sciences, pc sciences, and engineering) greater than others (e.g., social sciences). It means being keen to work extra with {industry} and to actively assist expertise commercialization.
First and foremost, Congress wants to extend funding. Federal R&D funding as a share of GDP peaked in 1964 at 1.86 % throughout the top of the Cold War and has fallen since then to round 0.62 %. (See determine 4.)
Figure 4: U.S. federal R&D funding as a share of GDP, 1960–2023[21]

One place to start out is to present engineering analysis a bigger share of assist. The imbalance between science and engineering assist must be lowered, with a minimum of one-third of latest funding going to engineering, up from round 15 %.[22]
At the identical time, new funding must be focused to areas of science, engineering, and expertise which have direct implications for nationwide financial energy industries. The CHIPS and Science Act did that in figuring out 10 key expertise areas for funding. This was a very good step, however successful superior industries via analysis and innovation shouldn’t be sufficient. We want to seek out methods to make sure extra conventional, however important, industries can even innovate—for instance, analysis into new sorts of metal and chemical compounds, new methods of forging metals, or making circuit boards.
The imbalance between science and engineering assist must be lowered, with a minimum of one-third of latest funding going to engineering, up from round 15 %.
This means funding new sorts of institutional methods. It additionally ought to imply increasing the 2 most important R&D efforts which have sturdy connections to industrial innovation: NIST and the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA). NIST funding was minimize from 0.011 % of GDP in 1995 to 0.004 % in 2025.[23] At the identical time, DARPA funding fell from round 0.027 % of GDP in 1995 to about half of that, 0.014 %, in 2025. Congress ought to triple the NIST funds and double the DARPA funds over 5 years.
The present system and people who handle it see science as a world good, not a weapon in a techno-economic struggle. The new system ought to work to restrict the power of China to entry U.S. and allied STEM information and capabilities. As ITIF has documented in one other report, there are a selection of steps Congress and the administration ought to take to restrict scientific and technical cooperation with China.[24] This consists of requiring disclosure of U.S. school doing analysis with Chinese researchers in areas associated to nationwide energy industries and proscribing the U.S.-China Science and Technology Agreement, as mentioned in a separate ITIF report on slowing China’s advance to keep away from dropping the techno-economic commerce struggle.[25]
More Focused Specialization With Scale
At the core, the U.S. analysis system is about tasks, not sustained facilities with scale.
China, in distinction, goes deep, and that makes innovation simpler. For instance, not like the United States, the place a analysis college could have just some professors engaged on a selected space, China has established analysis institutes the place 100 researchers are engaged on the identical subject. For instance, China has near 50 graduate applications that target both battery chemistry or the intently associated topic of battery metallurgy. By distinction, solely a handful of professors within the United States are engaged on batteries.[26]
This is just like different Asian Tiger nations which have lengthy supported giant, specialised industrial analysis labs, equivalent to ITRI in Taiwan targeted largely on electronics and South Korea’s Electrotechnology Research Institute.[27] In China, we see this with its SKL program, which, based on one report, is a “method of teaming researchers and developers as a strategy to tackle hard problems [and which] has long been hailed as a successful model, as was seen with Bell Labs in the United States.”[28] The over 500 SKLs are normally positioned at universities, though within the final decade, the Chinese authorities has funded personal firms to type SKLs, akin to Bell Labs.
The U.S. STEM analysis system is about tasks, not sustained facilities with scale.
We additionally see this concentrate on specialization in Chinese authorities efforts to type superior expertise regional clusters. A Center for Security and Emerging Technology report on SKLs notes that “to streamline the innovation process from basic to applied research, Beijing has co-located enterprises, universities, research institutions, and SKLs to form industry clusters.”[29] One particular person instructed ITIF that there are universities in China that solely concentrate on battery analysis. For instance, China’s SKL for Physical Chemistry of Solid Surfaces employs over 100 researchers at Xieman University.[30] In distinction, NSF funds 19 ERCs and a complete of 79 ERCs because the program’s inception—and solely about half of those are targeted on applied sciences that might be utilized in globally traded industries. A typical one, such because the Center for Innovative and Strategic Transformation of Alkane Resources, has solely about 30 researchers, and solely few of them work full-time on the middle.
As such, federal STEM analysis coverage must focus extra on specialised facilities than on particular person awards. The funding for the facilities must be sustained, a minimum of for 10 years, contingent on efficiency. And funding must be sizeable sufficient to achieve actual scale.
NSF has not too long ago taken a step on this path with the announcement of its new request for proposal for its Tech Labs applications. This is an “initiative designed to launch and scale a new generation of independent research organizations. These organizations will focus on technical challenges and bottlenecks that traditional university and industry labs cannot easily solve on their own.”[31] Funding seems to be round $200 million a yr; an affordable quantity, however no sufficient to adequately reply to the China problem.[32]
More Funding of Mid-Level TRL Research
While some extra funding ought to go to early-stage fundamental analysis (e.g., TRLs 1 and a couple of), vital funds ought to go to TRLs 3 to five (proof of idea demonstrated experimentally to check the feasibility of your innovation, expertise validated in a lab surroundings, and expertise validated in a related surroundings).[33] And analysis proposals ought to reveal curiosity and dedication to having this analysis commercialized within the United States or with allies which have reciprocal applications with the United States. This must be required by Congress, in any other case the science companies will revert to type to fulfill their shoppers.
The lion’s share of mid-level TRL analysis is from the Department of War (DOW). As such, Congress ought to triple DOW’s funding for university-based industrial analysis. Most of the funding for manufacturing-related analysis at universities comes from DOW. Indeed, if there’s a manufacturing expertise company within the United States it’s DOW. Much of what it funds has dual-use implications, equivalent to R&D in composites, digital manufacturing methods, supplies, and prototyping. Various components of DOW have lengthy expertise and established relationships with R&D facilities throughout the nation. These applications, nonetheless, should be considerably expanded to pursue extra R&D specializing in dual-use capabilities. For instance, the University of Delaware Composites Research Center, based in 1974, has been funded by the U.S. Army Research Laboratory (ARL), the U.S. Army Tank and Automotive Command, the Office of Naval Research, and DARPA. Similarly, Penn State University’s Electronics Manufacturing Center is one in every of seven Navy Manufacturing Technology (ManTech) Centers of Excellence. Similarly, the Missouri University of Science and Technology’s Center for Aerospace Manufacturing Technologies is funded by the U.S. Air Force Research Labs and Boeing Research.
Quite a lot of DOW places of work fund this sort of utilized analysis and engineering improvement together with the Under Secretary of Defense for Research & Engineering and the ManTech program. Service analysis applications embrace the Army Research Laboratory, Office of Naval Research, Air Force Research Laboratory, and AFWERX. DOW additionally sponsors a number of of the 16 Manufacturing USA institutes. However, as a share of GDP, fundamental, utilized, and advanced-technology analysis funding at DOW (funds actions 6.1, 6.2, and 6.3, respectively) declined from 0.096 % of GDP in 2006 to 0.078 % in 2024.[34] Congress ought to double 6.1, 6.2, and 6.3 funding from round $21 billion to $42 billion.
Congress also needs to create a “civilian DARPA” to co-invest with {industry} on analysis and utility of key applied sciences wanted for dual-use nationwide safety management within the industrial sector. Funded by yr 5 with a minimum of $20 billion per yr, such an entity might be administered by NIST.[35]
Increase Industry Involvement
Most of this new extra funding shouldn’t go to college particular person investigators pursuing fundamental analysis and searching for to publish their findings. Rather, it ought to go to institutional fashions that interact far more deeply with {industry}.
One path is to create new sorts of analysis universities.[36] For instance, the Chinese authorities has supported analysis universities which are targeted on a couple of slender expertise areas, equivalent to robotics, however accomplish that at monumental depth. There is not any cause the United States couldn’t try this—for instance, creating graduate universities targeted on supplies, optics, and robotics and autonomy. Congress ought to present NSF with a minimum of a one-time appropriation of $1 billion to award to round 5 or so entities that search to create specialised analysis universities.
Another path is the to set up 5 nationwide industrial analysis institutes targeted on key, dual-use industries and applied sciences—modeled after Tawain’s Industrial Technology Research Institute, an industry-government superior expertise lab targeted largely on IT applied sciences, with an extended monitor document of engaged on applied sciences in what’s known as the “middle Technology Readiness Levels” past what universities work on and sooner than most firms work on.[37]
In the CHIPS Act, Congress offered $11 billion for R&D. This included institution of the National Semiconductor Technology Center, a public-private consortium to be operated by a brand new nonprofit known as Natcast. It was to function a shared sandbox whereby start-ups, universities, and large firms may entry costly chip design instruments and prototyping capabilities with out having to construct their very own billion-dollar services. The laws additionally created the National Advanced Packaging Manufacturing Program to fund analysis into “heterogeneous integration”—principally the Lego-like stacking of various chiplets to make computer systems quicker and extra vitality environment friendly. Unfortunately, the Trump administration is ideologically against this sort of industry-led expertise coverage and so minimize a lot of the funding for Natcast.[38] However, going ahead, the Natacast mannequin must be used not solely for semiconductors but in addition different expertise areas the place {industry} is absolutely to step ahead with funding and dedication.
Congress also needs to considerably broaden the Manufacturing USA facilities’ public-private pre-competitive analysis institutes.[39] There are presently 18 institutes; there must be a minimum of 36. These facilities must be chosen by {industry}, with them coming to NIST with proposals and offering a share of the funding. Funding may additionally go to nonprofit service suppliers/producers for key applied sciences equivalent to extremely high-density interconnect circuit boards or different applied sciences for which the United States is very depending on China.
Congress ought to create a “civilian DARPA” to co-invest with {industry} on analysis and utility of key applied sciences wanted for dual-use nationwide safety management within the industrial sector. Funded by yr 5 with a minimum of $20 billion per yr, such an entity might be administered by NIST.[40]
Some of the elevated funding ought to go to states that agree to extend their very own funding for R&D facilities targeted on analysis associated to nationwide financial energy {industry} expertise wants, as Georgia has with its Georgia Research Alliance.
Congress ought to modify the collaborative R&D credit score to spice up the credit score price from 20 % to 50 % for {industry} funding of college or federal lab analysis or industry-led collaborative analysis. This would offer a strong incentive for firms to assist extra extramural analysis in areas important to {industry} wants and be extra oriented towards serving to {industry} clear up key challenges.
Most U.S. college Ph.D. applications are designed to end up tutorial researchers/professors. That wants to alter. We want extra experimentation with completely different sorts of applications which are extra targeted on {industry} wants. For instance, the Danish Agency for Science, Technology and Innovation oversees an industrial Ph.D. Program designed to provide STEM Ph.D.s with extra industry-relevant expertise. (See field 3.)
In China, the Harbin Institute of Technology (one of many Seven Sons of National Defense) is now rewarding college students with a Ph.D. based mostly on actual options they construct—equivalent to creating vacuum laser welding tech for the army.
In the United States, Olin College of Engineering requires college students to review design, enterprise entrepreneurship, and engineering. And it has no school tenure.[41] Alfred Kettering University in Michigan gives immersive co-op expertise for quite a lot of engineering disciplines.[42]
In China, the Harbin Institute of Technology is now rewarding college students with a Ph.D. based mostly on actual options they construct—like creating vacuum laser welding tech for the army.
Congress ought to present funding for grants to increased schooling institutes that wish to develop new institutional approaches for coaching scientists and engineers. Ideally, this is able to be funded not by NSF, which has proven little curiosity in “rocking the academic boat,” however relatively NIST or a brand new nationwide expertise company.
Box 3: Denmark’s Industrial Ph.D. Program
Beginning in 1971, Denmark’s Industrial Ph.D. program grew to become one of many first applications of its sort designed to coach researchers with industrial analysis and workforce functions in thoughts.[43] With the purpose of accelerating information sharing between universities and the personal sector whereas additionally selling analysis with industrial functions, this system permits a scholar to enter a Danish college whereas concurrently working for a Danish firm for a three-year interval. While in this system, the coed splits their time between the corporate and the college, finishing a single analysis mission that has direct advantages for their firm whereas additionally finishing the normal necessities of the college’s Ph.D. program (coursework, doctoral thesis, instructing, and many others.). While enrolled, the coed is paid an annual wage by the agency, which is partially backed by the college, whereas the Danish Agency for Science, Technology and Innovation pays the complete tuition to the college.
The fields of inquiry for the Industrial Ph.D. Program embrace a number of areas of rising and significant expertise, together with inexperienced analysis, expertise and innovation, life sciences and welfare expertise, robotics and AI, and house expertise.[44] To ensure, collaborating Danish firms are concerned in knowledge-intensive industries, significantly IT, chemical compounds, prescribed drugs, medical gear, and superior manufacturing. The majority of firms count on patents, and a minimum of half count on increased company incomes because of collaborating in this system.
In 2011 and 2013, over 1,200 tasks, together with 430 Industrial Ph.D. college students at 270 firms, have been surveyed and in contrast with a management group of firms and college students that didn’t take part in this system. Among the businesses that participated in this system, they often skilled a doubling of the variety of patent functions, increased gross income, a rise in whole employment, and a rise in whole issue productiveness in contrast with the management group. Additionally, the businesses reported new information, new market alternatives, and a bolstered community to the educational world.
Industrial Ph.D. college students discovered that they earned about 10 % greater than standard Ph.D. college students did and have been additionally 3 times as possible as standard Ph.D.s to carry senior management positions in an organization. The surveys additionally discovered that industrial Ph.D.s who went into the general public sector earned the identical as these within the personal sector, however standard Ph.D.s earned much less.
An extra survey carried out in 2013 concluded that the Ph.D. program created worth for college students, companies, and universities. Students have been enriched by the mix of sensible expertise and analysis. Companies discovered concrete outcomes with elevated income; new services; and a rise in patent functions and licensing. Universities acquired a greater sense of the analysis wants for enterprise, to not point out a provide of extremely certified and motivated Ph.D. college students. All events loved the good thing about networking. Finally, the Danish society was served by a program that delivered worth for cash, elevated nationwide competitiveness, and elevated employment.
The Industrial Ph.D. shouldn’t be a substitute for elementary analysis within the sciences, however relatively is a helpful complement to tutorial, company, and nationwide analysis agendas.
Harness AI to Transform, Not Just Optimize, Scientific Discovery
U.S. science coverage ought to prioritize the large-scale integration of AI and superior digital infrastructure into the core of the scientific enterprise. DOE’s Genesis Mission gives a compelling mannequin. It goals to construct an built-in nationwide discovery platform that connects supercomputers, AI methods, scientific devices, and huge federal datasets right into a single, AI-driven analysis engine.[45] By coaching scientific basis fashions, automating analysis workflows, and enabling AI methods to generate and check hypotheses, the initiative is designed to double the productiveness and affect of American science inside a decade. This strategy displays a important shift: AI for science shouldn’t be merely about bettering effectivity or stretching analysis {dollars}, but in addition about basically modernizing how discovery happens. Evidence exhibits that AI can improve the novelty and affect of analysis—particularly in advanced domains—whereas nations equivalent to China are already leveraging these capabilities at scale to achieve benefit in frontier analysis. As one current examine finds, “China has taken the lead in AI-driven research, outpacing both the US and the EU, not just in sheer output, but also in terms of scientific novelty and impact.”[46] To stay globally aggressive, the United States ought to deal with AI-enabled science as a strategic nationwide functionality, embedding it into analysis infrastructure, funding fashions, and institutional design throughout all federal analysis companies.
More Tracking of China’s Efforts
It shouldn’t be sufficient for the U.S. STEM analysis system to focus extra on supporting U.S. nationwide financial energy industries. The federal authorities additionally must do a greater job of monitoring Chinese instructions and progress.
Current intelligence and coverage frameworks are closely targeted on utilized applied sciences and industrial developments, typically reacting to Chinese improvements solely after they’ve materialized. Using procurement energy to speed up the event of anticipatory fashions that have a look at early-stage analysis, patents, and funding tendencies would allow the United States to higher predict and put together for technological shifts pushed by Chinese scientific developments.
Bold institutional change is difficult. But within the case of U.S. STEM analysis coverage, persevering with with the established order will result in the United States dropping the techno-economic struggle with China. And counting on curiosity group pressures for wanted change will imply little change.
The core political economic system downside with federal STEM analysis coverage is that {industry} largely relegates it to a minor difficulty that it doesn’t foyer for whereas the core foyer is the recipient neighborhood—on this case, to take a web page from Eisenhower, the NSF-scientist-university advanced.
And the very last thing the science foyer desires is change. In reality, most actively oppose change. The solely change they need is extra money. We can see that within the science foyer responses to a current Office of Science and Technology Policy request for feedback on science coverage. In response to the primary query, “What policy changes to Federal funding mechanisms, procurement processes, or partnership authorities would enable stronger public-private collaboration and allow America to tap into its vast private sector to better drive use-inspired basic and early-stage applied research,” the most-answered response was predictable: extra money.
The American Council on Education, representing 16 higher-ed organizations, mentioned in its response to this query that “we encourage the administration to work with Congress to deliver on sustained and consistent federal funding for the research enterprise.”[47]
The very last thing the science foyer desires is change. In reality, most actively oppose change.
When requested, “What reforms will enable the American scientific enterprise to pursue more high-risk, high-reward research that could transform our scientific understanding and unlock new technologies, while sustaining the incremental science essential for cumulative production of knowledge?” the council’s response was don’t change something aside from give DARPA extra money.[48]
In response to, “How can the Federal government support novel institutional models for research that complement traditional university structures and enable projects that require vast resources, interdisciplinary coordination, or extended timelines?” they primarily mentioned that this was not a good suggestion. Rather, they mentioned that the federal authorities ought to enable extra oblique prices to qualify for analysis grants.
“How can the federal government leverage and prepare for advances in AI systems that may transform scientific research?” Answer: extra money.
Overall, the college neighborhood may even say that it’s fundamental analysis that produces the most important enhancements, not later-stage utilized analysis and definitely not improvement. Even assuming that that is true, it misses the purpose. If the U.S. science system retains producing fundamental information discoveries that Chinese companies additionally use and that don’t do sufficient to strengthen U.S. techno-economic energy industries, then the United States can be depending on China.
Many free-market fanatics will object that that is inappropriate authorities intervention out there. Only fundamental analysis is the place there’s a market failure. And many progressives will oppose giving cash which may assist enterprise. Nonetheless, it’s arduous to see how firms within the United States will be capable of compete with Chinese superior firms with out such an initiative.
Some will decry {industry} funding of analysis universities as one way or the other corrupting them and turning them away from their true mission of data discovery for its personal sake.[49] However, as North Carolina State Professor Denis Gray has documented, industry-university partnerships don’t have any destructive results on tutorial freedom.[50] It is solely not the case that {industry} funding comes on the value of high-quality, impartial analysis. If it did, then establishments equivalent to Stanford and MIT must be worse than second-tier universities of their analysis high quality, given how a lot cash they obtain from {industry}. In these and plenty of different instances, high-quality, impartial analysis attracts {industry} assist. The key shouldn’t be independence and even the section of analysis, however relatively the orientation. Universities targeted extra on what Princeton Professor Donald Stokes termed “Pasteur’s quadrant” analysis—fundamental analysis directed at a selected problem or downside—look like ones which are extra prone to obtain {industry} funding.[51]
If the U.S. science system retains producing fundamental information discoveries that Chinese companies additionally use and that don’t do sufficient to strengthen U.S. techno-economic energy industries, then the United States can be depending on China.
However, many in {industry} will assist this transformation, though most {industry} leaders won’t be prone to place such change excessive on their precedence checklist, partially due to the broad nationwide—versus agency—advantages of such a program. Many state governments will assist it due to the financial improvement advantages. And many within the nationwide safety neighborhood will assist it for apparent causes.
This clearly will make change arduous. In this case, the conventional strategy of change in Washington whereby curiosity teams push adjustments and Congress and the White House reply will fail to provide wanted change. In this case, nationwide financial safety pursuits require that Congress and the White House have to largely ignore established order pursuits and acknowledge that just about all will oppose wanted change.
Federal assist for STEM analysis is a key to enabling the United States to not lose to China. But the outdated Vannevar Bush linear mannequin coupled with a slender mission-driven mannequin that excludes industrial expertise improvement for nationwide financial energy industries is a path to dropping.
Bold institutional adjustments in how the Untied Stats funds analysis are wanted. None of the proposals listed here are all that sophisticated, a minimum of by way of implementation. All they require is the willingness to broaden funding and commit it to new sorts of analysis establishments and applications.
Acknowledgments
This report is a part of a collection that has been made potential partially by beneficiant assist from the Smith Richardson Foundation. (For extra, see: itif.org/power-industries.) ITIF maintains full editorial independence in all its work. Any errors or omissions are the writer’s alone.
About the Author
Dr. Robert D. Atkinson (@RobAtkinsonITIF) is the founder and president of ITIF. His books embrace Technology Fears and Scapegoats: 40 Myths About Privacy, Jobs, AI and Today’s Innovation Economy (Palgrave McMillian, 2024); Big Is Beautiful: Debunking the Myth of Small Business (MIT, 2018); Innovation Economics: The Race for Global Advantage (Yale, 2012); Supply-Side Follies: Why Conservative Economics Fails, Liberal Economics Falters, and Innovation Economics Is the Answer (Rowman Littlefield, 2007); and The Past and Future of America’s Economy: Long Waves of Innovation That Power Cycles of Growth (Edward Elgar, 2005). He holds a Ph.D. in metropolis and regional planning from the University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill.
About ITIF
The Information Technology and Innovation Foundation (ITIF) is an impartial 501(c)(3) nonprofit, nonpartisan analysis and academic institute that has been acknowledged repeatedly because the world’s main suppose tank for science and expertise coverage. Its mission is to formulate, consider, and promote coverage options that speed up innovation and increase productiveness to spur development, alternative, and progress. For extra data, go to itif.org/about.
[3]. Corelli Barnett, The Collapse of British Power (London: Faber, 1972), 85.
[6]. Bush, Science, the Endless Frontier.
[11]. Mark Funk, “Basic Research and International Spillovers,” International Review of Applied Economics, 2002, 16(2), 217–226, https://doi.org/10.1080/02692170110118911; David Coe and Elhanan Helpman, “International R&D Spillovers” (NBER, working paper 4444, August 1993), https://www.nber.org/papers/w4444.
[15]. The China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI) was launched in 1996 as a state-backed mission run out of Tsinghua University. It is a key nationwide data mission led by Tsinghua University, first launched in 1996 along side the Tsinghua Tongfang Company. Domestically, it has a near-total monopoly on tutorial literature in China—CNKI hosts an estimated 95 % of all tutorial literature written in Chinese, together with authorities reviews and yearbooks containing key statistical datasets masking nationwide protection, {industry}, telecoms, transport, pure assets, healthcare, and finance.
Maryann Feldman, “The ex ante assessment of knowledge spillovers: Government R&D policy, economic incentives and private firm behavior” (Science Direct, analysis Policy Vol 35., Iss 10., December 2006), https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0048733306001545.
But the extra strategically attention-grabbing dimension is its outward attain. CNKI EXPRESS 2.0 describes itself as offering “one-click access to over 300 million literature from more than 600 international publishing houses in 65 countries and regions” and goals to be a “unified discovery platform for literature in Chinese and other languages.” The specific ambition is to combination world science right into a single domestically managed platform accessible to all Chinese researchers.
Di Mao and Jiakeng Chen, “Does the university knowledge spillover promote common prosperity? Empirical evidence from China” (Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, Vol 12., No 532., April 2025), https://www.nature.com/articles/s41599-025-04858-0.
The asymmetry is stark: in March 2023, CNKI introduced it will terminate entry for universities and analysis establishments exterior mainland China. China was concurrently increasing its consumption of world scientific information via CNKI whereas chopping off international researchers’ entry to Chinese tutorial output. Dozens of analysis universities and establishments within the United States, Taiwan, and Hong Kong—together with Georgetown and Notre Dame—have been minimize off from CNKI’s database of statistical and tutorial publications.
Xiaohong Han and Hua Feng, “The impact of foreign R&D on the innovation performance of China’s high-tech industry and its spatial spillover effect” (National Library of Medicine, March 2023), https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10019641/.
[21]. National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics, “Long-Term Trends Show Decline in Federally Funded R&D as a Share of GDP while Business-Funded R&D Share Increases,” April 24, 2025, https://ncses.nsf.gov/pubs/nsf25334.
[22]. The National Science Foundation’s Engineering Directorate accounts for lower than 10 % of the NSF funds.
[25]. Robert D. Atkinson, et al., “Slowing China’s Advance to Avoid Losing the Techno-Economic-Trade War” (ITIF, March 2026), in National Power Industry Series, https://itif.org/power-industries/.
[34]. National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine, U.S. Army Futures Command Research Program Realignment, 2022, (Washington, DC: The National Academies Press, 2022), https://doi.org/10.17226/3024.
[36]. For instance, the Chinese authorities has supported analysis universities which are targeted on a couple of slender expertise areas, equivalent to robotics, however accomplish that at monumental depth.
[37]. Many different nations have nationwide analysis institutes devoted to precompetitive industrial expertise improvement, which home companies can then commercialize to achieve world benefit. The United States has the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST), however it focuses on metrology (the science of weights and measures). As such, the United States wants to ascertain a minimum of one, however ideally 5, nationwide industrial analysis institutes targeted on applied sciences known as the “middle technology readiness Level,” past what universities work on and sooner than most firms work on. They might be modelled after Taiwan’s Industrial Technology Research Institute. Robert Atkinson, “China is Rapidly Becoming a Leading Innovator in Advanced Industries” (ITIF, September 2024), https://itif.org/publications/2024/09/16/china-is-rapidly-becoming-a-leading-innovator-in-advanced-industries/.
[46]. Stefano Bianchini et al., “Artificial Intelligence in Science: Promises or Perils for Creativity?,” European Commission, Directorate-General for Research and Innovation (Publications Office of the European Union, 2025), https://data.europa.eu/doi/10.2777/6693925.
[47]. American Association of Colleges and Universities, American Association of Colleges for Teacher Education, American Association of Veterinary Medical Colleges, American Council on Education, Association of Governing Boards of Universities and Colleges, Association of Jesuit Colleges and Universities, College and University Professional Association for Human Resources, Council for Christian Colleges & Universities, Council of Graduate Schools, Council of Independent Colleges, Council on Social Work Education, EDUCAUSE, National Association for College Admission Counseling, National Association of College and University Business Officers, National Association of Independent Colleges and Universities, and National Council of University Research Administrator.
[49]. Jennifer Washburn, University, Inc.: The Corporate Corruption of Higher Education (New York: Basic Books, 2006).
[51]. Donald E. Stokes, Pasteur’s Quadrant: Basic Science and Technological Innovation (Washington DC: Brookings Institution Press, 1997).