What we know on the 21st day of the US and Israel’s war with Iran


Rice farmers spreading fertilizer on the Ban Pa Pong Piang rice terraces in Doi Inthanon National Park in Thailand in September 2025

With no fast finish in sight for the Middle East conflict and key transport routes being strangled, the World Food Programme has warned of “record levels of hunger.”

It mentioned a further 45 million individuals may fall into acute starvation because the conflict escalates, pushing the worldwide complete to 363 million individuals.

“As violence escalates, displacement, rising prices and disrupted food systems are pushing families closer towards hunger in the region and far beyond,” the WFP mentioned on its web site Thursday.

Fertilizer is essential for agriculture. The United Nations says 1 / 4 of the world’s provide passes by way of the Hormuz strait.

South Asia is among the many areas most at threat, with the UN elevating considerations about future crop yields. And in elements of sub-Saharan Africa, the WFP warns farmers coming into the planting season threat being unable to deal with their crops, driving decrease yields and better meals costs in the months forward. “Even small increases in costs can push vulnerable families into crisis.”

Across South and Southeast Asia, greater than half of agricultural fertilizer used is nitrogen-based, analysis fellow Robert Walker at the Lowy Institute mentioned, leaving these areas uncovered to shortages of urea – a type of crystalized nitrogen used in most fertilizers.

Around 35% of the world’s urea provide passes by way of the Strait of Hormuz, in accordance to the Center for Strategic and International Studies.

While not formally confirmed by Beijing, Reuters, citing sources, reported that China was clamping down on fertilizer exports to shield its home market. That would put extra pressure on world markets that had been already grappling with shortages brought on by the struggle.

Escalating assaults close to the strait have introduced ship transits shut to a halt, sending oil costs to $115 a barrel Thursday and driving up transport, vitality and insurance coverage prices throughout world provide chains.

Concerns have additionally been raised for dairy farmers in Australia, which imports round 90% of its transport fuels, mentioned Ben Bennett, President of the Australian Dairy Farmers advocacy group.

“Dairy cows cannot simply be switched off or milk stored indefinitely on farm. If milk tankers stop running because fuel is unavailable or unaffordable, farmers face serious animal health and environmental consequences.”



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