President Donald Trump retains touting a ballot that was mentioned on NCS in March. On Tuesday, although, Trump wrongly described that ballot in three other ways.
Trump has repeatedly talked about a March 18 tv segment that includes NCS chief information analyst Harry Enten, who defined that an NBC News poll had discovered that the president had a 100% approval rating among supporters of Trump’s Make America Great Again (MAGA) motion. Trump appreciated the phase a lot that he had a video of it played throughout a late-March speech.
That’s comprehensible. Speaking on the White House on Tuesday, although, Trump stated this: “I am at, according to NCS, 100% approval within the Republican Party … I’m at 100% approval. Did you see the NCS poll? Nobody talks about it. NCS – I think the people that did that poll probably got fired. But within the Republican Party – and MAGA, which is basically 100% of the party, I think, but – 100%.”
There are three false claims in these transient remarks. The ballot in query wasn’t a NCS ballot, MAGA is just not “basically 100% of the party,” and Trump’s approval rating with Republicans is much from 100% – and farther than it was firstly of the 12 months.
Here’s a extra detailed reality examine.
“Nobody talks about” the NCS ballot Trump was describing as a result of it doesn’t exist: Enten’s phase was about an NBC News poll. (It’s doable that the president was genuinely confused on this level on condition that the phase aired on NCS.) The most recent NCS/SSRS poll, performed from March 26 to 30, discovered Trump at 80% approval among Republicans.
There’s no doubting that Trump retains a devoted base of supporters and that he continues to wield formidable influence throughout the Republican Party. But ballot after ballot has made clear that the MAGA motion is just not near the “basically 100%” of the social gathering that Trump stated he thinks it’s.
The NBC News poll Enten was speaking about, performed from February 27 to March 3 by Hart Research Associates and Public Opinion Strategies, discovered that 42% of the registered voters surveyed recognized as Republican or Republican-leaning, whereas 30% of the registered voters surveyed recognized as supporters of the MAGA motion. So MAGA supporters doubtless made up a sturdy majority of Republicans and Republican-leaners on this ballot, however not all of them.
In a subsequent NBC News poll performed with SurveyMonkey from March 30 to April 13, which requested completely different questions than the earlier ballot, 53% of the self-identified Republicans surveyed stated they had been extra a supporter of MAGA than the Republican Party, however 47% stated they had been extra a supporter of the social gathering than MAGA.
And in a Washington Post-ABC News-Ipsos poll performed from April 24-28, 54% of the Republicans and Republican-leaners surveyed stated they had been supporters of the MAGA motion, however 43% stated they weren’t MAGA supporters. Sixty-five % of the Republicans and Republican-leaners surveyed stated Republican leaders ought to comply with Trump’s management, however 34% stated they need to lead the social gathering in a completely different path; that was a change from a February ballot, when the cut up was 71% for the follow-Trump possibility to twenty-eight% for the different-direction possibility.
Trump isn’t at 100% with Republicans – and he’s been slipping
Trump’s approval with Republicans stays excessive. But it’s definitely not 100%, and a number of pollsters have discovered it has declined at the least barely over the course of 2026 as he has turn out to be more and more unpopular with the broader public. Here’s a pattern of the adjustments pollsters have found since January.
– Again, the most recent NCS/SSRS poll, performed from March 26-30, discovered Trump at 80% approval among Republicans. It was 87% in a NCS/SSRS poll in January.
– The most recent Pew Research Center poll, performed from April 20-26, discovered Trump at 68% approval among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents. It was 73% in a Pew poll in January.
– The most recent AP-NORC poll, performed from April 16-20, discovered Trump at 68% approval among Republicans and individuals who lean Republican. It was 81% in an AP-NORC poll in January.
– The most recent Fox News poll, performed from April 17-20, discovered much less of a shift, with Trump at 83% approval among Republican registered voters in comparison with 85% in a Fox News poll in January.
– The most recent Marquette Law School poll, performed from April 8-16, discovered Trump at 78% approval among Republicans and Republican-leaners. It was 83% in a Marquette Law School poll in January.