Doing business in China? Factor in deflation


A lady rides an electrical scooter by the Beiyuan Grand Hotel in Beijing, China August 11, 2025.

Maxim Shemetov | Reuters

While U.S. corporations battle inflation, these in China are up towards one thing very completely different: deflation.

The high-end Beijing resort Beiyuan Grand has been organising stalls in the evenings to serve dishes to passers-by — as Chinese shoppers and firms reduce on journey, banquets, and occasions. Chef Wang cooks up his specialty fried pigeon there, not in the resort’s restaurant however out on the sidewalk.

“When we sold fried pigeons inside the hotel restaurant, we used to sell only 60 to 70 a day,” Wang mentioned. “Now we sell around 200.”

But these gross sales come at minimize costs.

Before, every fried pigeon value $8. Today, they go for $5.30.

Falling costs are an issue throughout China’s financial system. That comes as shoppers, unsure in regards to the future, have been trying to find worth. 

On his manner dwelling from work, Wan Qiang picked up a gourmand dinner of duck necks, duck wings, and steamed buns from Beiyuan for simply over $4.

“The economy isn’t doing so well,” he mentioned. “The food is very clean and the quality is good.”

Another issue pressuring Chinese costs is extra capability in all the pieces from electric vehicles and photo voltaic panels to meals supply companies, main to what’s described in China as “involution” or a race-to-the-bottom competitors.

Food supply is likely one of the most fiercely aggressive battlefields. Market chief Meituan is dealing with cutthroat competitors from Alibaba and JD.com. They’ve all been providing coupon reductions to battle for business bringing costs down.

The Chinese authorities, nervous about deflation changing into entrenched, has stepped in with warnings and revised laws to regulate pricing.

The nation is ready to publish consumer price index and producer worth index information for August on Wednesday. Goldman Sachs predicts wholesale worth inflation will keep “deeply negative,” with the producer worth index dropping 2.9% 12 months on 12 months. The financial institution sees the patron worth index as “moderately negative,” falling 0.2% from a 12 months in the past.

In the deflationary surroundings, client patterns are altering.

Second-hand luxurious items are in such excessive demand that on-line classic merchandise vendor Zhuanzhuan opened a bodily superstore this summer time in downtown Beijing.

For well-off Chinese shoppers like Hao Wenli, it was as soon as socially unacceptable to not purchase new.

That not carries a stigma.

“We hardly go to the luxury stores anymore,” she mentioned. “It’s a hard time now to make money, so why not shop at places like this and save?”

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