Data Skrive
The Kansas City Chiefs (4-3) are favored by 11.5 points versus the Washington Commanders (3-4) on October 27, 2025, starting at 8:15 p.m. ET, airing on ABC/ESPN. The predicted point total for the game is 48.5.
Keep up with the 2025 NFL season on FOX Sports.
Chiefs vs. Commanders Odds & Betting Lines
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs | -11.5 | -108 | -123 | 48.5 | -105 | -115 |
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Chiefs vs. Commanders Prediction & Pick
- Pick ATS: Chiefs (-11.5)
- Pick OU: Under (48.5)
- Prediction: Chiefs 30 – Commanders 17
How to Watch Kansas City vs. Washington
- Game date: Monday, October 27, 2025
- Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
- Location: Kansas City, Missouri
- TV: ABC/ESPN
- Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
Chiefs vs. Commanders Recent Matchups
- In their past two head-to-head contests, Kansas City has won against Washington two times.
- Washington has been outpaced by 27 points in its last two tilts against Kansas City.
Kansas City Betting Info
- Against the spread, Kansas City is 4-3-0 this season.
- The Chiefs have won their only game this season when playing as at least 11.5-point favorites.
- Kansas City games in 2025 have gone over the point total three times in seven opportunities (42.9%).
- When playing as the moneyline favorite, the Chiefs are 3-2 (winning 60% of the time).
- The Chiefs have an 87.5% chance to win this matchup, based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
Chiefs Stats
| Stat | Average (Total) | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Pass yards | 247.1 (1,730) | 6 |
| Rush yards | 123.4 (864) | 10 |
| Points scored | 26.6 (186) | 12 |
| Pass yards in opposition to | 174.6 (1,222) | 3 |
| Rush yards in opposition to | 105.7 (740) | 13 |
| Points allowed | 17.7 (124) | 3 |
Kansas City’s Key Players
Offense
- Patrick Mahomes has thrown for 1,800 yards (eighth in the NFL), 14 touchdowns (10th in the NFL) and two interceptions this year. He averages 257.1 yards per game and 7.3 per attempt, while completing 66.1% of his passes.
- He has also rushed for 250 yards (second on the Chiefs) and added four touchdowns on the ground, while averaging 35.7 rushing yards per game.
- Marquise Brown has caught 32 passes on 48 targets for 316 total yards and four touchdowns. He is averaging 4.6 catches and 45.1 yards per game in seven games.
- In the passing attack, Travis Kelce, has contributed with 375 receiving yards and two touchdowns after grabbing 31 balls on 40 targets. Per game, he’s averaging 53.6 yards and 4.4 receptions in seven games.
- Tyquan Thornton has 14 receptions for 311 yards and three touchdowns. He’s been targeted 27 times in the passing game, and averages 2.3 receptions and 51.8 yards in six games played.
Defense
- On the defensive side for the Chiefs, Nick Bolton has put up 55 tackles and four TFL in 2025.
- George Karlaftis III has 23 tackles, six TFL, 3.5 sacks, and one pass defended.
- Chamarri Conner has totaled 47 tackles.
- So far this season, Drue Tranquill has 31 tackles, four TFL, and two sacks.
Washington Betting Info
- Washington has covered the spread in a matchup three times this year (3-4-0).
- Washington’s games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under three times this season.
- The Commanders have entered the game as underdogs four times this season and won once.
- The implied probability of a win by the Commanders based on the moneyline is 16.7%.
Commanders Stats
| Stat | Average (Total) | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Pass yards | 196.1 (1,373) | 24 |
| Rush yards | 148.9 (1,042) | 2 |
| Points scored | 25.7 (180) | 13 |
| Pass yards in opposition to | 238.3 (1,668) | 26 |
| Rush yards in opposition to | 126.0 (882) | 21 |
| Points allowed | 24.3 (170) | 21 |
Washington’s Key Players
Offense
- Jayden Daniels is averaging 7.1 passing yards per attempt (15th in the NFL) and 206.2 yards per game this year, completing 61% of his passes on the way to 1,031 total yards, eight touchdowns and one interception through five games.
- Daniels has also rushed for one touchdown and 211 yards (second on the Commanders).
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt has scored four rushing touchdowns, while totaling 377 rushing yards (5.2 per attempt and 53.9 per game).
- Deebo Samuel has registered 315 receiving yards and three touchdowns on 34 receptions, while being targeted 43 times this season.
- Zach Ertz has been targeted 34 times, resulting in 23 catches for 229 yards .
Defense
- Bobby Wagner has 73 tackles, five TFL, and two sacks in 2025.
- Frankie Luvu has two sacks (third on the Commanders) to go with four TFL and 40 tackles.
- Mike Sainristil has recorded 31 tackles and two interceptions in the 2025 season.
- Da’Ron Payne’s season stats include 26 tackles, five TFL, and one sack in seven games.
FOX Sports created this story utilizing know-how offered by Data Skrive and information from Sportradar.
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