But dig deeper into the poll and you discover much more for Republicans to like.


* 1 in 5 registered voters mentioned that schooling and faculties was an important situation in deciding their vote. That made it the second most cited situation behind solely jobs and the financial system (27% most necessary situation). Youngkin has spent the final weeks of the marketing campaign bashing McAuliffe for saying, in a debate, that he did not suppose “parents should be telling schools what they should teach.”

* Just 43% of voters approve of the job Joe Biden is doing as president whereas 53% disapprove. Almost 6 in 10 self-identified independents (58%) mentioned they disapprove of how Biden is dealing with independents.

* Speaking of independents, they’ve moved away from McAuliffe and to Youngkin during the last month. In a September Monmouth poll, McAuliffe led amongst independents by a 46%-37% margin. In the new poll? Youngkin leads 48% to 39%.

* Almost half (49%) of Republicans mentioned they have been extra enthusiastic to vote in this election than in previous races. Just 26% of Democrats mentioned the identical.

An erosion of independents. An unpopular President. An enthusiasm hole. A shedding situation gaining prominence.

That is a LOT of unhealthy information for McAuliffe and Democrats extra broadly — suggesting that the race might be slipping away from them at precisely the fallacious time.

The Point: Rightly or wrongly, what occurs in Virginia in two weeks’ time will likely be analyzed as a signal of what is to come for each events in 2022. And proper now it is not wanting good for Democrats.