In addition to our updates on the Trump administration and government shutdown, we’re maintaining a tally of key races in a number of states that can maintain elections on November 4.
These off-cycle elections are the normal first check of voters’ response to the presidency and tackle added dimension given the shutdown.
Virginia governor: Virginia’s election for governor takes place within the shadow of an unpopular GOP administration in Washington, DC.
In a current Washington Post-Schar School poll, adverse feedback about President Donald Trump or Republicans got here second solely to issues about financial points and the price of residing.
Polls have discovered Democrat Abigail Spanberger with a steady benefit over Republican Winsome Earle-Sears amongst possible voters.
New Jersey governor: New Jersey’s gubernatorial race is a story of two incumbents: Trump is unpopular there as properly, however the state’s outgoing Democratic Gov. Phil Murphy additionally attracts carefully divided rankings.
Many current surveys have discovered Democrat Mikie Sherrill with an edge amongst possible voters, hovering across the 50% mark, whereas her opponent, Republican Jack Ciattarelli, stands nearer to 45%.
New York City mayor: Surveys of possible voters have been largely constant in displaying Democrat Zohran Mamdani with a double-digit lead over his nearest rival, former New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo, with Republican Curtis Sliwa in third.
California redistricting: Voters are weighing Proposition 50, a poll measure to briefly enact a brand new congressional map drawn by Democrats in response to Republican-driven redistricting in different states.
A mid-October ballot from CBS/YouGov discovered 62% of possible voters in help of Proposition 50, whereas an October Public Policy Institute of California poll put that help at 56%.
It’s value noting that past research has found that polling typically overshoots help for initiatives that implement new adjustments, as a result of some voters finally default to preferring the established order.