Exit polls 2020: Young Americans and White college-educated voters flock to Biden in several battleground states


In Wisconsin, practically 3 in 5 voters underneath the age of 30 supported Biden, in contrast with solely 47% who solid ballots for Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton in 2016. Next door in Minnesota, practically two-thirds of younger voters chosen Biden, in contrast to 45% who voted for Clinton. They helped propel him to victory in these states.

The former vp additionally made positive factors amongst White voters with school levels in Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Arizona and Nevada, capturing a bigger share of that group than Clinton did 4 years earlier. He captured a double-digit lead with the group in Arizona and Pennsylvania, although Clinton didn’t win it in both of these states. NCS has not but projected a winner in Nevada.

In Michigan, Biden picked up assist amongst independents and senior residents too, whereas he garnered extra unbiased votes in Wisconsin, in contrast to Clinton 4 years in the past. More Wisconsin and Michigan voters making lower than $50,000 a 12 months voted Democratic this 12 months in contrast to 2016.

NCS’s exit polls this year incorporate in-person interviews at early voting areas and phone interviews to goal by-mail voters. Those surveys are in addition to the in-person interviews with voters on Tuesday. In each state the place exit ballot outcomes can be found on election evening, there shall be a mixed end result to replicate an entire image of voters throughout the nation.

National exit polls present college-educated voters comprised rather less than half of the 2020 citizens, up barely from 2 in 5 voters who had a school diploma in 2016. White voters made up roughly 2 in 3 voters in the 2020 citizens, which is down barely from 71% in the 2016 citizens. Women comprised simply greater than half of the citizens this 12 months, in accordance to these exit polls, related to 2016.

Latinos end up for Trump

Trump picked up extra Latino voters in several states than he gained in 2016. The President captured nearly half of the group in Florida, up from 35% in 2016. Biden earned simply over half of the Latino vote in the state, in contrast to 62% who supported Clinton 4 years in the past.

Biden additionally misplaced assist amongst Latino voters in Georgia and Ohio, which Democrats had hoped to flip. The former vp was up solely about 16 share factors in Georgia and about 21 factors in Ohio, in contrast to Clinton’s margin of 40 share factors and 41 factors in Georgia and Ohio, respectively.

However, in preliminary outcomes from Arizona, Latino voters favored Biden by practically 2 to 1, with Trump barely making a dent. Clinton additionally gained the Latino vote there handily in 2016.

Economy is the primary concern

The financial system was prime of thoughts for voters as they solid ballots for president, in accordance to the outcomes of the nationwide NCS exit ballot.

And whereas they had been pretty evenly break up on whether or not the nation’s financial system is doing properly, greater than half mentioned the coronavirus pandemic has triggered them monetary hardship. Still, round 2 in 5 mentioned they’re higher off at present than 4 years in the past, in contrast to 1 in 5 who mentioned they’re worse off at present.
The US suffered its steepest loss of jobs in April as states shuttered non-essential companies and advised residents to keep at residence to strive to include the Covid-19 outbreak. While employers have rehired tens of millions of Americans, the nation remains to be down 10.7 million jobs since February. The 7.9% unemployment charge is the very best it has been forward of a presidential election because the authorities began monitoring the month-to-month charge in 1948.

About one-third of voters known as the financial system their most crucial difficulty, whereas roughly 1 in 5 citing racial inequality and about 1 in 6 naemed the coronavirus pandemic as most necessary to their vote. Roughly 1 in 10 every cited well being care coverage and crime and security as their prime difficulty.

Among Biden supporters, greater than one-third mentioned racial inequality was their most necessary difficulty, beating out all others.

Even although extra voters cited the financial system than coronavirus as their most necessary difficulty in selecting a candidate, a slim majority say that the nation’s precedence now ought to be containing the coronavirus over rebuilding the financial system.

Views on all issues coronavirus divided voters based mostly on political leanings. Trump’s supporters had been much more possible to name the financial system their prime difficulty, with about 3 in 5 of the President’s supporters saying so, in contrast to solely 5% who cited coronavirus. Among Biden’s supporters, about 3 in 10 mentioned coronavirus is their prime concern, in contrast to 1 in 10 who cited the financial system.

Nearly 4 in 5 Biden supporters mentioned containing the coronavirus ought to be the nation’s precedence, whereas roughly three-quarters of Trump backers felt rebuilding the financial system is most necessary.

Containing the coronavirus

Overall, most voters felt the nation’s efforts to contain the virus are going badly. But that sentiment varies broadly by which candidates persons are supporting.

More than 9 in 10 Biden voters say that efforts to include the virus are going badly, whereas just one in 10 Trump supporters felt that manner.

With coronavirus instances and hospitalizations rising in many states, round two-thirds of voters mentioned they view carrying a face masks as a public well being duty greater than as a private alternative. But this additionally differs, with greater than 4 in 5 Biden voters saying it is a public well being duty, however solely half of Trump supporters responding that it’s.

As of Wednesday afternoon, the US reported practically 9.5 million instances of the virus and greater than 233,000 folks have died, in accordance to information from Johns Hopkins University. It is forecast to take tens of hundreds extra lives in coming months.

Loyal to their candidates

The majority of Trump and Biden supporters mentioned they solid ballots extra in assist of their candidate than towards his opponent, although Trump’s base was much more loyal to him. More than 4 in 5 folks mentioned they voted for the President, whereas just below two-thirds of Biden’s voters mentioned the identical.

The high quality voters had been in search of in a president was a powerful chief. One-third mentioned so, whereas just below 1 / 4 wished somebody with logic and simply over one-fifth thought a candidate who “cares about people like me” was most necessary. Around one-fifth had been in search of somebody who can unite the nation.

When it comes to the problems, practically three-quarters of voters mentioned a candidate’s place on the problems was most necessary, whereas lower than quarter named the candidate’s private qualities.

Two-thirds of voters mentioned that local weather change is a significant issue.

Some 3 in 5 voters mentioned that Supreme Court appointees had been an necessary issue in their vote — Trump named three justices in his first time period, shifting the court docket to the suitable. And greater than half of voters mentioned the excessive court docket ought to preserve Obamacare as it’s. Justices will hear oral arguments on a case that seeks to overturn the landmark well being reform regulation subsequent week.

Half of voters assured their ballots shall be counted precisely

Voters largely discovered the expertise of casting their ballots to be a simple one, although there’s a huge hole between the share of White voters who mentioned it was very simple (roughly three-quarters) and the share of Black voters who felt the identical manner (about half). About half general mentioned they’re very assured that votes in their states shall be precisely solid and counted, about the identical as 4 years in the past.

How the exit polls work in a pandemicHow the exit polls work in a pandemic

With a tidal wave of early and absentee voters this 12 months, only a few made up their minds in the ultimate days of the competition: Just 5% mentioned they made up their minds in the ultimate week of the marketing campaign, and over 4 in 5 mentioned they made up their minds earlier than September.

The survey suggests a excessive degree of latest voter participation.

About 1 in 8 mentioned 2020 is the primary 12 months they’ve ever voted, about on par with the share saying so in 2008.

NCS Exit Polls are a mixture of in-person interviews with Election Day voters and phone polls measuring the views of absentee by-mail and early voters and had been carried out by Edison Research on behalf of the National Election Pool. In-person interviews on Election Day had been carried out at a random pattern of 115 polling areas nationwide amongst 7,774 Election Day voters. The outcomes additionally embrace 4,919 interviews with early and absentee voters carried out by cellphone. Results for the total pattern have a margin of error of plus or minus 2 share factors; it’s bigger for subgroups.



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