It’s that point once more. Specifically, it is time to rank the whole field of 2021 Masters members from 1-88. While this can be a hurclean and somewhat-impossible process that has the potential to make me look foolish earlier than Moving Day even commences, this can be a rating of who I imagine is probably to win the eighty fifth Masters based mostly on all the proof we have now getting into the week.

The record is put collectively utilizing some mixture of latest kind, previous historical past at this match and instinct based mostly on how every golfer’s sport matches as much as what I envision from a Masters champion. Much of the statistical knowledge is pulled from Data Golf and concentrates on ball-striking from the final 2-3 months main into the Masters, which in the previous has been a nice indicator of who will win the match.

Dustin Johnson leads the record following his victory in November 2020 at Augusta National. He takes the high spot from Bryson DeChambeau; although his ceiling right here is insanely excessive, DeChambeau has but to complete in the high 10 at this match. Those two change spots from November whereas Jon Rahm stays put at No. 2. Jordan Spieth makes the greatest leap of any of the contenders, going from No. 29 simply 5 months in the past to No. 4 getting into this week following his Texas Open win. 

Let’s dive headfirst into the record of 88 from probably to win the Masters to the least.

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2021 Masters field, ranked

1. Dustin Johnson (Best end — Won in 2020): Only Jack Nicklaus, Nick Faldo and Tiger Woods have ever gone again to again. D.J. would match properly on that record. Though his putter has been ice-cold thus far this yr, his historical past at Augusta National is a joke. He’s defeated practically everybody he is confronted right here over the last five years.

2. Jon Rahm (4th in 2018): Top 10s in every of his final three right here, and now that Baby Rahm has arrived, there are some actual “Danny Willett in 2016” vibes happening. He’s one among simply three golfers gaining two or extra strokes per spherical from tee to inexperienced since Feb. 1 (Collin Morikawa and Sergio Garcia are the others), which portends effectively for Masters week. 

3. Bryson DeChambeau (T21 in 2016): You’ll see takes this week about how Bryson’s 2020 efficiency proves that you just simply cannot deliver a spot like Augusta National to its knees. While it is true that Bryson will not win each match he performs, that does not imply his type will not work right here. It will — simply not yearly.  All he actually did over the final yr is improve his odds of successful by a few share factors at each main. By the finish of his profession, that is likely to be price an additional main or two (which is lots!). Being the longest participant in the field performs wherever in the world, and if he can get the brief sport rolling like he did at Winged Foot, he’ll contend for his second main win right here. That’s a giant “if,” although contemplating how a lot he is struggled along with his wedges and putter (his greatest placing efficiency at Augusta National got here in November when he was about field average).

4. Jordan Spieth (Won in 2015): Since Feb. 1, Spieth is third in the world in strokes gained on strategy photographs. The solely two golfers forward of him are the two greatest iron gamers in the world: Justin Thomas and Collin Morikawa. I’m hesitant to go too far out on a limb right here, however I believe Spieth would possibly win the 2021 Masters by at least 15 strokes.

5. Justin Thomas (4th in 2020): In one among my favourite stats of this yr’s Masters, J.T. has improved his end at this match yearly through which he is performed. From T39 to T22 to T17 to T12 to 4th at final yr’s occasion behind D.J., Cam Smith and Sungjae Im. Plus, there will not be any water to flirt with on No. 18 if he has a slim lead at the very finish, though that operating hook would possibly find yourself in a urinal up the left-hand aspect of the final gap if that is the shot with which he goes.

6. Collin Morikawa (T44 in 2020): After an extremely constant early begin to his profession, Morikawa has grow to be a bit extra risky. He received the PGA final yr however missed the reduce at the U.S. Open. Then he received the WGC in February however missed the reduce at The Players Championship. I really do not thoughts this volatility as a result of it could possibly result in a variety of large wins, and he does what you need to do best at Augusta National — hit irons like lasers shot out of a silo — higher than anyone else on Earth.

7. Patrick Cantlay (T9 in 2019): He’s very Xander Schauffele-like in that if there are holes in his sport, it’s a must to squint fairly onerous to seek out them. I’ve at all times envisioned him successful a U.S. Open earlier than I’ve envisioned him successful a Masters, however he is an absolute monster on par 5s (T4 on the PGA Tour final season), which is clearly vital at Augusta National. 

8. Rory McIlroy (4th in 2015): I’m guessing you didn’t know that McIlroy’s greatest end right here got here on the identical week as Jordan Spieth’s coronation. He has six high 10s in the final seven years, however he has additionally by no means completed nearer than six strokes again of the eventual champ (which he did precisely in 2015, 2016, 2017 and 2018). Through a decade of futility with Rory at Augusta National, I stay — if that is doable — 100% satisfied and 100% unconvinced that he’ll win this match and end off the profession slam.

9. Xander Schauffele (T2 in 2019): Perhaps I’m naive, however it nonetheless seems like there is a little bit of, “Yeah, sure sure, but I want to see it” right here than there may be with a few of the different guys in the high 10. Maybe that is unfair, however Schauffele has not precisely been slamming doorways like Troy Percival of late. Still, he has six high 10s in his final 11 main championships.

10. Viktor Hovland (T32 in 2019): I ponder what number of gamers have reached the high 15 in the world earlier than they performed of their first Masters as an expert. Hovland is a very attention-grabbing sleeper choose this week given his success right here as an novice (T35 in 2019) and the improvement of his sport since then (fourth from tee to inexperienced over the final two months). This will probably be the first time Hovland, Morikawa and Matthew Wolff have all performed in the identical Masters.

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11. Tony Finau (T5 in 2019): The longest con of all time is about to be unveiled. Finau will lead this factor by two on Saturday night time and shoot a 65 with D.J., J.T. and Spieth attempting to run him down. The ensuing takes will present electrical energy for small nations round the globe for weeks. He’s 2-for-3 in high 10s right here, and is available in beneath the radar regardless of being high 5 in strokes gained tee to inexperienced over the final two months.

12. Webb Simpson (T5 in 2019): I’ve by no means notably cherished Simpson on this course, however he is now posted back-to-back high 10s in the final two years and is an actual risk to win right here due to his elite iron play. He said last year that he began taking part in Augusta National extra conservatively than in the previous — choosing his spots higher — and it is made all the distinction. You can see the end in that T5 in 2019 and T10 in 2020.

13. Paul Casey (T4 in 2016): The drawback with 90% of those guys is that I discover myself saying, “Is Paul Casey really going to win the Masters?” He might, after all. But actually, is he going to? Brooks was right. Also, Casey has been the greatest participant on the planet from tee to inexperienced in 2021.

14. Louis Oosthuizen (2nd in 2012): Always makes the reduce — seven of his final eight — however hasn’t contended since 2012 when he misplaced to Bubba Watson in a playoff. I do not know if it is extra shocking that Lee Westwood has simply two PGA Tour wins or that Oosthuizen has only one (and it got here 11 years in the past … at a significant).

15. Cameron Smith (T2 in 2020): The solely golfers to complete in the high 5 in at least two of the final three Masters are Dustin Johnson, Rory McIlroy and … Cameron Smith.

16. Sergio Garcia (Won in 2017): Historically underrated participant who has additionally missed 9 of his final 13 cuts at main championships since successful the 2017 Masters. It has been practically 4 years since he is completed in the high 50 at a significant! However, I should have him in my high 20 as a result of he is been No. 2 in the world from tee to inexperienced for 2 months. Absolutely flushing it!

17. Jason Day (T2 in 2011): He could have had the quietest high 5 by a former No. 1 participant in the world in Masters historical past again in 2019 when Tiger was doing his factor. I legitimately can not bear in mind seeing a single shot! One of simply eight gamers with at least 4 high 10s in the last decade.

18. Bubba Watson (Won in 2012, 2014): Watson has form of quietly amassed a pair of top-12 finishes in the final three years at Augusta. His latest outcomes seem like a Spieth curler coaster, however he is legitimately harmful right here.

19. Patrick Reed (Won in 2018): He will get a small bump as a result of he is received right here earlier than, however that felt like a once-in-a-career factor, and Chase Seiffert has been higher than him from tee to inexperienced over the final two months.

20. Tyrrell Hatton (T44 in 2018): Hatton feels just a little Henrik Stenson-y to me. He’s clearly an amazing participant, however he hasn’t discovered a groove at the majors but. He’ll doubtless have 2-3 alternatives to win one, however in all probability no more than that. Hopefully he takes benefit as a result of he could be a very enjoyable champ.

21. Will Zalatoris (n/a): The greatest participant in the world you have by no means heard of. He’s tenth in strategy photographs over the final two months. That will play at Augusta National.

22. Tommy Fleetwood (T17 in 2018): For all his success at main championships, he is by no means actually thrived at Augusta National. This is a bit shocking given how good he’s from tee to inexperienced. Could be part of Charl Schwartzel and Danny Willett as latest professionals to get their first PGA Tour win at Augusta.

23. Adam Scott (Won in 2013): I’ll at all times be a sucker for him right here, however his driver has actually fallen off over the final two years. He’s nasty at majors, although. He has 15 high 10s in 39 majors since 2011.

24. Scottie Scheffler (T19 in 2020): Easily the highest-ranked participant on right here who has zero wins as an expert. Can you think about getting your first at Augusta National? I do fear about the undeniable fact that he is performed 11 rounds in the final 14 days, and Augusta isn’t precisely the breeziest stroll.

25. Daniel Berger (T10 in 2016): How about this: Devon Bling has performed in a Masters extra not too long ago than Berger, who missed the final two as a result of he wasn’t ranked excessive sufficient to qualify. He has so few holes, and but solely a pair of high 10s at main championships.

26. Corey Conners (T10 in 2020): I completely love him to contend right here due to how he hits it. I completely don’t love him to win right here due to how he putts it.

27. Joaquin Niemann (MC in 2018): Has but to play this occasion as an expert. While I envision him as extra of a U.S. Open man, he is been in the high 10 all yr in whole strokes gained. Fun dark-horse choose as a result of he is nonetheless unformed sufficient that you could simply envision him mixing it up with Rahm and Bryson on the weekend.

28. Matt Wallace (T46 in 2020): “Surprising flusher who gets to ride Texas Open momentum into Augusta” doesn’t completely describe Jordan Spieth.

29. Brooks Koepka (T2 in 2019): As inconsistent as Koepka has been over the final 18 months, I not too long ago started to imagine in him at main championships once more. If solely as a result of I really imagine his entire, Well you knock half the field out of it if you present up, they cannot win bit. However, the knee harm throws a wrench in issues, and now it’s extremely troublesome to think about him contending when he’s saying that he is looking for flat stretches of land to stroll on.

30. Matthew Fitzpatrick (T7 in 2016): I’m simply not a believer. He’s high quality. Good participant. But it appears as if there is a purpose he is 1-for-22 in high 10s at majors. The ball-striking simply doesn’t do it for me. 

31. Matthew Wolff (MC in 2020): In idea, his ball flight is nice right here. In actuality, he is gone from being a top-10 driver on the PGA Tour to not even a top-100 driver on the PGA Tour. That’s not the finish of the world for Augusta National, however the kind isn’t all that sharp.

32. Hideki Matsuyama (fifth in 2015): Has not completed in the high 10 in any main since … 2017. 

33. Lee Westwood (2nd in 2010): I worry he peaked too early in the season. It’s troublesome for growing old former superstars to clamber round the summit greater than annually.

34. Sungjae Im (T2 in 2020): I’ve to admit I used to be shocked to be launched to the actuality that Sungjae completed runner-up at final yr’s Masters. I in some way utterly blocked that one out of my reminiscence. Must have been the home-game impact for the new Atlanta resident. He’s been elite along with his driver (1st in the world) and horrific along with his irons (136th) over the previous few months.

35. Max Homa (MC in 2020): The soiled little secret of Homa’s emergence as the folks’s champ is that he is grow to be actually good at skilled golf. Homa is not the one-hit marvel who’s enjoyable to comply with on Twitter, and he popped on the west coast with not solely a victory at Riviera however was additionally one among simply 11 golfers to achieve two strokes per spherical over the first two months of the season.

36. Phil Mickelson (Won in 2004, 2006, 2010): He’s been quietly flushing it for a month. A quick and agency course will play into his arms. My curiosity is piqued.

37. Justin Rose (2nd in 2017): Steve Stricker has performed higher golf for many of 2021 than Justin Rose. To be honest to Rose, Steve Stricker has performed fairly good golf. To be honest to Stricker, he is 54 years outdated and the captain of the Ryder Cup group. 

38. Gary Woodland (T24 in 2011): I respect the pedigree, however he is by no means popped at Augusta National. And like Matthew Wolff, he is been fighting driver, although the outcomes have been much more excessive. Woodland has gone from being a top-five driver to under PGA Tour common.

39. Ryan Palmer (tenth in 2011): Palmer has not performed since Speth final received right here in 2015. I’m unsure which is harder to imagine. Currently taking part in possibly the greatest golf of his profession (rivaled solely by the same run again in … 2015).

40. Si Woo Kim (T21 in 2019): The expertise exists, and he is made three straight cuts right here. Maybe they need to inform him Pete Dye re-designed the par 3 course (Pete Dye didn’t redesign the par 3 course).

41. Lanto Griffin (MC in 2020): After his comments following the Farmer’s Insurance Open, I want him and the 2018 champion right here in a weekend pairing.

42. Harris English (T42 in 2016): His sport ought to match completely right here, theoretically — excessive ball flight, good putter. He’s been hitting it fairly poorly for the final two months, although. Interesting dark-horse man however not any person I wish to again.

43. Abraham Ancer (T13 in 2020): His competition was so unbelievable final yr that I’m nonetheless unsure it occurred. This is simply not the kind of course he ought to essentially thrive at, and but he is additionally been a top-25 (or so) participant for greater than a yr. He is likely to be an on-course killer, which is a delight to observe and canopy.

44. Billy Horschel (T17 in 2016): For as stable as Horschel has been for the final eight years, he nonetheless has only one high 10 at a significant (2013 U.S. Open at Merion).

45. Ian Poulter (T6 in 2015): Makes a lot of cuts at Augusta (14 of 15 in his profession) however not a ton of legit competition, although he was form of in it in 2019 when Tiger received. He’s on the brief record of men I’d like to see holding a lead with six holes left on Sunday. 

46. Marc Leishman (T4 in 2013): Leish would not have a high 10 at any main since ending ninth at the 2018 Masters, through which he performed in the last pairing with Patrick Reed on Saturday. If you had been to re-rank this record based mostly on how fashionable the winner could be, I’d must suppose he is in the high 10.

47. Jason Kokrak (MC in 2020): People will say his brief sport holds him again an awesome deal. I simply do not suppose he is adequate along with his irons to up the ante on that MC in 2020. Even a giant bopper like Kokrak will fold beneath the strain of second photographs into these greens.

48. Francesco Molinari (T5 in 2019): It’s been good to see him resurrect the profession a bit, however I can not shake the feeling that guys like Molinari — actually good gamers, however not nice ones — solely get one run the place they’re taking part in effectively sufficient to win a significant (or a number of majors). Unfortunately for him, his coincided with one among the nice sports activities tales of all time.

49. Kevin Kisner (T21 in 2019): I ponder if Kisner, when he famous that there have been sure programs he is aware of he cannot win at (like Bethpage Black and Torrey Pines), had Augusta National in thoughts as effectively. He’s been high quality right here, however no high 10s to this point. His greatest main has been the PGA Championship.

50. Cameron Champ (T19 in 2020): Nice debut for him in 2020. My drawback with him isn’t the brief sport — which isn’t nice — however extra that he is not an elite iron participant, which you need to be — at least for per week — to win this factor.

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51. Danny Willett (Won in 2016): Made his first reduce right here in November since successful in 2016.

52. Matt Jones (MC in 2014): He was so good at the Honda Classic and has been hitting it at a … checks notes … Rory McIlroy-like stage for the final two months. He will not win, however he is a enjoyable top-20 man.

53. Zach Johnson (Won in 2007): The different Johnson has simply two high 10s right here ever and just one since successful in 2007 (it got here in 2015). This jogs my memory of one among the nice tweets of our time.

54. Matt Kuchar (T3 in 2012): Kuchar quietly missed the reduce at each main he performed final yr for the first time since 2009. He’s additionally exterior the high 100 from tee to inexperienced over the final two months.

55. Carlos Ortiz (N/A): If you have not seen Ortiz swing, be ready to imagine you are watching any person try to impersonate Jordan Spieth on the first, oh, I do not know — 3,000 viewings.

56. Sebastian Munoz (T19 in 2020): Would like to see D.J.’s face when he slips the inexperienced jacket over the Flex Seal logo on Bassy’s Masters scripting.

57. Kevin Na (T12 in 2015): The theatrics are enjoyable, till they don’t seem to be. Na has simply two high 10s in 38 profession main championships, though he did beat Xander Schauffele, Patrick Cantlay, Rickie Fowler, Tiger Woods, Collin Morikawa and Bryson DeChambeau final November at this occasion.

58. Shane Lowry (T25 in 2020): I really like Lowry, however he is virtually definitely a one-time main champ. We are formally in “everybody has started to look the same” territory.

59. Dylan Frittelli (T5 in 2020): I guess you did not keep in mind that top-five end in 2020. His sport has not been sharp over the previous few months. Definite stay-away for me.

60. Brian Harman (T44 in 2018): My expectations will not be large, however I’m intrigued by the undeniable fact that he is a lefty and he is hitting the ball higher than he ever has in his profession.

61. Stewart Cink (T3 in 2008): He has one high 10 at a significant since his 2009 Open win. Oddly, it was the 2018 PGA Championship the place he completed T4 behind Brooks Koepka, Tiger Woods and Adam Scott.

62. Michael Thompson (T25 in 2013): Might have the greatest hole between the recognition of a win and probability of successful of anybody in the field.

63. Charl Schwartzel (Won in 2011): Matthias Schwab and Sam Ryder have performed higher golf than Schwartzel in 2021. 

64. Victor Perez (T46 in 2020): I imagine the European Ryder Cup group is obligated to at all times maintain at least one man of thriller named “Victor” in the shadows till they want him most.

65. Bernd Wiesberger (T22 in 2015): Wiesberger has been low-key actually good right here. No missed cuts in 5 appearances. There aren’t be many guys in historical past who’ve an ideal MC document with at least that many occasions performed.

66. Christiaan Bezuidenhout (T38 in 2020): A high 40 in his debut final November, however he is fairly brief off the tee, which doesn’t bode effectively in a field that features Jon Rahm and Dustin Johnson. His story could be the story of the match if he obtained into competition.

67. C.T. Pan (T7 in 2020): Tough one to determine. He made the reduce at only one main in 2019-20, and it was a high 10 at the Masters in November. I like him lots, however the sport simply doesn’t match Augusta very effectively (or so I believed … and nonetheless suppose).

68. Robert MacIntyre (n/a): Another lefty and extra intrigue. Could double Scotland’s Masters champion depend.

69. Bernhard Langer (Won in 1985, 1993): Remember final yr when everyone did the “See, Langer is contending even though he only drives it 270 feet thing? He’s done so in four of his last six Masters.

70. Henrik Stenson (T5 in 2018): Don’t be fooled by the name. Stenson doesn’t have a top 10 on the PGA Tour since the 2019 (!) U.S. Open. He’s missed six straight cuts worldwide coming into this week.

71. Brendon Todd (MC in 2020): You, unfortunately, cannot putt your way to a green jacket.

72. Jimmy Walker (T8 in 2014): This very well could be the last Masters for Walker, who is now outside the top 500 in the world and has no top 10s worldwide since 2018. I believe he is the lowest-ranked player in this field who is not an amateur or a former winner. Incredibly, he’s never missed a cut here.

73. Martin Laird (T20 in 2011): Who could forget that 2011 Masters when Rory opened with 65, Laird opened with 74 and they finished within one stroke of each other on Sunday evening (Rory got him by one)?

74. Mackenzie Hughes (MC in 2017): I love Mackenzie Hughes. Mackenzie Hughes is not going to win the Masters (unless they moved the weekend rounds to PGA National and nobody knows about it yet).

75. Robert Streb (MC in 2016): Oddly, Streb has as many top 10s at the PGA Championship as he has made cuts at every other major he’s played in combined. He’s never seen the weekend here, and has missed more cuts than he’s made since winning the RSM Classic in the fall to qualify for this year’s Masters.

76. Fred Couples (Won in 1992): I would pay extra for a Fred Couples channel where he just roams the course with a microphone talking about anything he wants to talk about.

77. Hudson Swafford (MC in 2017): Swafford has top 10s in just two of his last 14 events, and both of them came at the Corales Puntacana Resort and Club Championship. One of those was a win that got him in here, but unless he can body double for Harris English on the weekend, it’s unlikely he’ll see more than two days at Augusta National.

78. Jim Herman (MC in 2016): Dustin Johnson slipping a green jacket on Jim Herman’s shoulders would be like Dwyane Wade giving a speech at Darko Milicic’s Hall of Fame induction.

79. Brian Gay (T38 in 2013): If Brian Gay wins the Masters, it will almost certainly be because he had the greatest putting week in the history of golf.

80. Mike Weir (Won in 2003): Weir made the cut last year after failing to do so in eight of the previous nine years. I caution against watching the ball flight off the tee or looking at the Masters shot-tracking feature, but if you only pay attention to the scores, it may not be that bad!

81. Vijay Singh (Won in 2000): Tied Brooks Koepka and beat Webb Simpson, Bryson DeChambeau and Rickie Fowler at last year’s Memorial. How do I have no recollection of this?

82. Ty Strafaci (n/a): U.S. Amateur champ shot 77-75 at the Farmers Insurance Open this year and then 78 at the Genesis Invitational before withdrawing. Making the cut would be a win for him. He’ll turn pro after the Walker Cup in May.

83. Charles Osborne (n/a): U.S. Amateur runner-up opened with 77 in the stroke-play portion of the event before ripping off a 64 in Round 2 and rolling all the way to the final. He’s currently outside the top 200 in the World Amateur Golf Rankings.

84. Joe Long (n/a): How great would it be if the 1,820th-ranked player in the world won the Masters? Long comes in as The Amateur champ, and he’s got some Scottie Scheffler-like footwork going on. Two missed cuts in two pro events (both in South Africa).

85. Larry Mize (Won in 1987): Three cuts made in the last seven years! Also, tough to read this and not feel something sweet for Mize and his improbable win in 1987. “I used to be 28 years outdated once I received the Masters, and at that point, it was onerous to grasp the magnitude of it and the way it might have an effect on my profession. I did not perceive how particular it was going to be now at age 59. I really like going again yearly.”

86. Jose Maria Olazabal (Won in 1994, 1999): His last made cut anywhere in the world was the 2015 Trophee Hassan II. So … yeah.

87. Sandy Lyle (Won in 1988): I wonder how kind the strokes-gained era would be to ol’ Sandman. He won The Open in 1985 and Augusta in 1988, and has just two other top 10s at major championships.

88. Ian Woosnam (Won in 1991): Forget about Woosie and just learn this on growing old former winners




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